Real Sociedad 0–1 Getafe: Result & Stats | La Liga

Real Sociedad

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Getafe

J. Gorrotxategi 29' (OG)

4/22/2026

La Liga · Round 33Anoeta

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 34+ matches

Real Sociedad50%

×Draw26%

Getafe25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real SociedadExpected goals in this matchGetafe

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.53

0.99

Real Sociedad

1.53

Getafe

0.99

Real Sociedad creates 55% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 40 away

1.62

creates per match

0.86

1.12

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Real Sociedad

1.62

Getafe

0.86

allows per match

Real Sociedad

1.12

Getafe

1.44

+0.00on par

finishing

-0.16scores less than expected

finishing

Real Sociedad+0.00on par

Getafe-0.16scores less

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad ↓

Getafe →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Real Sociedad or draw

75%

Real Sociedad or Getafe

74%

Draw or Getafe

50%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad wins by 2+

25%

Getafe wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Real Sociedad 1+ goals

78%

Real Sociedad 2+ goals

45%

Real Sociedad 3+ goals

20%

Getafe 1+ goals

63%

Getafe 2+ goals

26%

Getafe 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad (draw refunded)

67%

Getafe (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.12 · 34 matches

Getafe away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.44 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad attack 1.62 + Getafe defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.53

Getafe attack 0.86 + Real Sociedad defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Real Sociedad scores more

50%

level

26%

Getafe scores more

25%

Real Sociedad at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Real Sociedad will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'

Brais MéndezPenalty confirmed

27'

Abdelkabir Abqar

29'

J. GorrotxategiOwn goal

31'

Orri Steinn Óskarsson

37'

Juan Iglesias

45'

Pablo Marín

46'

J. Aramburu← A. Elustondo

56'

A. Barrenetxea← P. Marin

56'

M. Oyarzabal← B. Mendez

67'

Duje Caleta-Car

68'

Javier Munoz← M. Martin

78'

Wesley← A. Munoz

80'

A. Nyom← A. Abqar

80'

D. Rico← Kiko Femenia

87'

A. Liso← L. Vazquez

88'

B. Turrientes← C. Soler

88'

J. Karrikaburu← J. Gorrotxategi

90+7'

90+7'

90+3'

90+2'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RealGetafe

Overview

67%Possession33%

13Total Shots5

1.89Expected Goals (xG)0.12

6Corners3

13Fouls22

Shots

13Total Shots5

4On Target0

5Off Target4

4Blocked1

9Inside Box2

4Outside Box3

Passing

67%Possession33%

507Total Passes251

422Accurate Passes156

83%Pass Accuracy62%

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

1.05Goals Prevented1.05

Discipline

13Fouls22

4Yellow Cards5

5Offsides1

La Liga: Real Sociedad 0–1 Getafe

Getafe beat Real Sociedad 1-0 in La Liga on April 22, 2026.

Goals: J. Gorrotxategi (29' o.g.).

Real Sociedad controlled possession (67%) and registered 13 shots to 5.

The match was played at Anoeta in San Sebastian.

Real Sociedad vs Getafe — La Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

La Liga: Real Sociedad 0–1 Getafe