Real Sociedad III 2–0 Touring: Result & Stats

Real Sociedad III

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Touring

2/13/2026

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 22Campo José Luis Orbegozo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Real Sociedad III48%

×Draw26%

Touring27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Sociedad IIIExpected goals in this matchTouring

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.07

Real Sociedad III

1.52

Touring

1.07

Real Sociedad III creates 42% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 66 away

1.57

creates per match

1.21

0.93

allows per match

1.48

creates per match

Real Sociedad III

1.57

Touring

1.21

allows per match

Real Sociedad III

0.93

Touring

1.48

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Sociedad III+0.00on par

Touring+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad III ↓

Touring →

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Real Sociedad III or draw

73%

Real Sociedad III or Touring

74%

Draw or Touring

52%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad III wins by 2+

24%

Touring wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Real Sociedad III 1+ goals

78%

Real Sociedad III 2+ goals

45%

Real Sociedad III 3+ goals

20%

Touring 1+ goals

66%

Touring 2+ goals

29%

Touring 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad III (draw refunded)

64%

Touring (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad III at home — creates 1.57, concedes 0.93 · 44 matches

Touring away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.48 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad III attack 1.57 + Touring defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.52

Touring attack 1.21 + Real Sociedad III defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 48%?"

Real Sociedad III scores more

48%

level

26%

Touring scores more

27%

Real Sociedad III at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Real Sociedad III will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4: Real Sociedad III 2–0 Touring

Real Sociedad III beat Touring 2-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on February 13, 2026.

The match was played at Campo José Luis Orbegozo in Donostia-San Sebastián.

Real Sociedad III vs Touring — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4: Real Sociedad III 2–0 Touring