Real Sociedad III 0–0 San Ignacio: Result & Stats

Real Sociedad III

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

San Ignacio

3/1/2026

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 24Campo José Luis Orbegozo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Real Sociedad III46%

×Draw27%

San Ignacio26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Sociedad IIIExpected goals in this matchSan Ignacio

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.37

0.96

Real Sociedad III

1.37

San Ignacio

0.96

Real Sociedad III creates 43% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 112 away

1.57

creates per match

0.99

0.93

allows per match

1.17

creates per match

Real Sociedad III

1.57

San Ignacio

0.99

allows per match

Real Sociedad III

0.93

San Ignacio

1.17

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Sociedad III+0.00on par

San Ignacio+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad III ↓

San Ignacio →

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Real Sociedad III or draw

74%

Real Sociedad III or San Ignacio

73%

Draw or San Ignacio

54%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad III wins by 2+

22%

San Ignacio wins by 2+

Team goals

Real Sociedad III 1+ goals

75%

Real Sociedad III 2+ goals

40%

Real Sociedad III 3+ goals

16%

San Ignacio 1+ goals

62%

San Ignacio 2+ goals

25%

San Ignacio 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad III (draw refunded)

64%

San Ignacio (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad III at home — creates 1.57, concedes 0.93 · 44 matches

San Ignacio away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.17 · 112 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad III attack 1.57 + San Ignacio defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.37

San Ignacio attack 0.99 + Real Sociedad III defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 46%?"

Real Sociedad III scores more

46%

level

27%

San Ignacio scores more

26%

Real Sociedad III at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Real Sociedad III will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio

Real Sociedad III and San Ignacio drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on March 1, 2026.

The match was played at Campo José Luis Orbegozo in Donostia-San Sebastián.

Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio