Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo — Primera División 2026

Real Oruro
Real Oruro
FT
5 – 2
HT: 1 – 2
Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo
F. Aguilar 90' (OG)
L. Vila 88', 69'
A. F. Bravo Adan 75'
J. Vila 30'
S. Cuiza 34'
D. Perez 8'
11/28/2025Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Apertura - 26

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Real Oruro60%
×Draw19%
Real Tomayapo21%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Oruro
2.44
Real Tomayapo
1.41

Real Oruro creates 73% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 24 away

creates per match

Real Oruro
2.55
Real Tomayapo
0.71

allows per match

Real Oruro
2.10
Real Tomayapo
2.33

finishing

Real Oruro+0.00on par
Real Tomayapo+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Oruro ↓

Real Tomayapo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
53%47%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Real Oruro or draw
79%
Real Oruro or Real Tomayapo
81%
Draw or Real Tomayapo
40%

Winning margin

Real Oruro wins by 2+
38%
Real Tomayapo wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Real Oruro 1+ goals
91%
Real Oruro 2+ goals
70%
Real Oruro 3+ goals
43%
Real Tomayapo 1+ goals
76%
Real Tomayapo 2+ goals
41%
Real Tomayapo 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Real Oruro (draw refunded)
74%
Real Tomayapo (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Oruro at home — creates 2.55, concedes 2.10 · 20 matches

Real Tomayapo away — creates 0.71, concedes 2.33 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Oruro attack 2.55 + Real Tomayapo defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.44

Real Tomayapo attack 0.71 + Real Oruro defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Real Oruro scores more
60%
level
19%
Real Tomayapo scores more
21%

Real Oruro at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Real Oruro will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

39
L. VacaReal OruroReal Oruro · M
8.2

Match Events

8'
D. Perez↳ F. Gatti
30'
J. Vila↳ A. F. Bravo Adan
32'
Alan Nuñez
34'
S. Cuiza↳ J. Castillo
46'
Castedo← A. Nunez
46'
J. Prieto← Y. Vallejos
46'
L. Vaca← J. Thomas
46'
L. Vila← Gustavo Oliveira
50'
Josue Castillo
50'
Josue CastilloCard upgrade
62'
A. Cordoba← D. Perez
63'
F. Aguilar← F. Gatti
66'
D. Fernandez← S. Zeballos
69'
L. Vila
75'
A. F. Bravo Adan↳ L. Vaca
76'
R. Montero← R. Lima
76'
M. Aviles← M. G. Barbery Gil
83'
D. Wayar← J. Mamani
86'
Leandro Corulo
88'
L. Vila
90'
F. AguilarOwn goal

Possession

55%Real

Shots

32Real

Pass accuracy

52%Real

Statistics

RealReal
Overview
55%Possession45%
32Total Shots10
4.64Expected Goals (xG)0.39
7Corners4
8Fouls8
Shots
32Total Shots10
13On Target4
15Off Target3
4Blocked3
20Inside Box5
12Outside Box5
Passing
55%Possession45%
400Total Passes327
351Accurate Passes261
88%Pass Accuracy80%
Goalkeeping
2Saves9
Discipline
8Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
5Offsides0

Primera División: Real Oruro 5–2 Real Tomayapo

Real Oruro beat Real Tomayapo 5-2 in Primera División on November 28, 2025.

Goals: D. Perez (8'), J. Vila (30'), S. Cuiza (34'), L. Vila (69', 88'), A. F. Bravo Adan (75'), F. Aguilar (90' o.g.).

Real Oruro controlled possession (55%) and registered 32 shots to 10.