Real Betis W 0–0 Real Sociedad W: Result & Stats

Real Betis W

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Real Sociedad W

3/17/2024

Primera División Femenina · Round 20Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 104+ matches

Real Betis W31%

×Draw24%

Real Sociedad W45%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Betis WExpected goals in this matchReal Sociedad W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.30

1.63

Real Betis W

1.30

Real Sociedad W

1.63

Real Sociedad W creates 25% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 119 away

1.14

creates per match

1.65

1.61

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Real Betis W

1.14

Real Sociedad W

1.65

allows per match

Real Betis W

1.61

Real Sociedad W

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Betis W+0.00on par

Real Sociedad W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Betis W ↓

Real Sociedad W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–19%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Real Betis W or draw

55%

Real Betis W or Real Sociedad W

76%

Draw or Real Sociedad W

69%

Winning margin

Real Betis W wins by 2+

13%

Real Sociedad W wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Real Betis W 1+ goals

73%

Real Betis W 2+ goals

37%

Real Betis W 3+ goals

14%

Real Sociedad W 1+ goals

80%

Real Sociedad W 2+ goals

48%

Real Sociedad W 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Real Betis W (draw refunded)

40%

Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)

60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Betis W at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.61 · 104 matches

Real Sociedad W away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.46 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Betis W attack 1.14 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.30

Real Sociedad W attack 1.65 + Real Betis W defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Real Betis W scores more

31%

level

24%

Real Sociedad W scores more

45%

Real Sociedad W at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

OlatzSantana

Real Sociedad W · G

8.2

Match Events

56'

Violeta Quiles

64'

S. Jensen← Lorena Navarro

66'

T. Cameron← Carla Armengol

72'

Mirari Uria← Nahia Aparicio

73'

J. Owusu← S. Franssi

78'

R. Núñez← Violeta Quiles

78'

Júlia Aguado← Natalia Montilla

79'

Paula Perea

83'

Leles← Gema Soliveres

83'

Ana Tejada← Ane Etxezarreta

83'

Alejandra Bernabé← Amaiur Sarriegi

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RealReal

Overview

29%Possession71%

12Total Shots19

3Corners10

9Fouls4

Shots

12Total Shots19

5On Target3

5Off Target11

2Blocked5

4Inside Box10

8Outside Box9

Passing

29%Possession71%

229Total Passes559

142Accurate Passes473

62%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

Discipline

9Fouls4

2Yellow Cards0

2Offsides2

Primera División Femenina: Real Betis W 0–0 Real Sociedad W

Real Betis W and Real Sociedad W drew 0-0 in Primera División Femenina on March 17, 2024.

Real Sociedad W controlled possession (71%) and registered 19 shots to 12.

The match was played at Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol in Sevilla.

Real Betis W vs Real Sociedad W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Primera División Femenina: Real Betis W 0–0 Real Sociedad W