Real Betis U19 2–0 Basel U19: Result & Stats

Real Betis U19

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Basel U19

R. Marina 64'

C. De Roa 30'

11/5/2025

UEFA Youth League · Semi-finalsCiudad Deportiva Luis de Sol

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Real Betis U1982%

×Draw14%

Basel U194%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Betis U19Expected goals in this matchBasel U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.33

0.33

Real Betis U19

2.33

Basel U19

0.33

Real Betis U19 creates 606% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

4.00

creates per match

0.33

allows per match

0.67

creates per match

Real Betis U19

4.00

Basel U19

0.33

allows per match

Real Betis U19

0.33

Basel U19

0.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Betis U19+0.00on par

Basel U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

No75
Yes25

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Betis U19 ↓

Basel U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–12%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–15%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–019%

2–16%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–015%

3–15%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–09%

4–13%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (19%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Real Betis U19 or draw

96%

Real Betis U19 or Basel U19

86%

Draw or Basel U19

18%

Winning margin

Real Betis U19 wins by 2+

59%

Basel U19 wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Real Betis U19 1+ goals

90%

Real Betis U19 2+ goals

67%

Real Betis U19 3+ goals

41%

Basel U19 1+ goals

28%

Basel U19 2+ goals

4%

Basel U19 3+ goals

0%

Draw no bet

Real Betis U19 (draw refunded)

95%

Basel U19 (draw refunded)

5%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

20%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Betis U19 at home — creates 4.00, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Basel U19 away — creates 0.33, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Betis U19 attack 4.00 + Basel U19 defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 2.33

Basel U19 attack 0.33 + Real Betis U19 defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

Real Betis U19 scores more

82%

level

14%

Basel U19 scores more

4%

Real Betis U19 at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "Real Betis U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

30'

C. De Roa↳ Miguel Angel

46'

R. Funez

46'

M. Kurtishi← M. Fanciulli

46'

Y. Hansal← C. Ilis

60'

D. Coric← M. Akahomen

63'

64'

66'

73'

74'

M. Mora← R. Funez

74'

R. De Sa Abreu← J. Antonio

88'

G. Ajdin

90+6'

A. Gonzalez

90+4'

M. Cuevas← I. Corralejo Mantero

90+4'

N. Fernandez← Miguel Angel

Real

Basel

1

Hoch

22

Jordan

8

Ajdin

4

▼

Akahomen

3

Trondle

5

Schafer

7

▼

Fanciulli

10

Sow

14

▼

Ilis

19

▼

9

13

2

5

15

3

⚽

Roa

21

▼

Mantero

8

▼

Funez

16

A

▼

Angel

11

▼

Oya

9

⚽

Marina

17

▼

Antonio

Manager: Dani Fragoso

63'▲A. Gonzalez←▼R. Oya

74'▲M. Mora←▼R. Funez

74'▲R. De Sa Abreu←▼J. Antonio

90+4'▲M. Cuevas←▼I. Corralejo Mantero

90+4'▲N. Fernandez←▼Miguel Angel

Real Betis U19 substitutes

1Klimek4Cuevas6Mora7Gonzalez10Martin18Fernandez19Cordon22Abreu24Caraballo

Manager: M. Cantaluppi

46'▲M. Kurtishi←▼M. Fanciulli

46'▲Y. Hansal←▼C. Ilis

60'▲D. Coric←▼M. Akahomen

73'▲J. Bralic←▼C. Duah

Basel U19 substitutes

18Minder30Pecora6Coric11Kurtishi15Keibach16Heiniger17Miftari21Hansal24Bralic

Match Recap: Real Betis U19 vs Basel U19

Real Betis U19 beat Basel U19 2-0 in UEFA Youth League on November 5, 2025.

Goals: C. De Roa (30'), R. Marina (64').

The match was played at Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol in Sevilla.

Real Betis U19 vs Basel U19 — UEFA Youth League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Real Betis U19 vs Basel U19