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Raufoss vs ODD Ballklubb — 1. Division 2026

Raufoss
Raufoss
Preview
15:00
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
9/13/20261. Division1. Division · Round 22NAMMO Stadion
43%
Raufoss
model favours
43%25%33%

Both teams score in 92% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Raufoss43%
×Draw25%
ODD Ballklubb33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Raufoss
1.56
ODD Ballklubb
1.33

Raufoss creates 17% more chances

Season form · 99 home / 21 away

creates per match

Raufoss
1.42
ODD Ballklubb
1.33

allows per match

Raufoss
1.34
ODD Ballklubb
1.71

finishing

Raufoss+0.00on par
ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 55Under: 4555%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 58No: 4258%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Raufoss ↓

ODD Ballklubb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Raufoss or draw
67%
Raufoss or ODD Ballklubb
75%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
57%

Winning margin

Raufoss wins by 2+
21%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Raufoss 1+ goals
79%
Raufoss 2+ goals
46%
Raufoss 3+ goals
21%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
74%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
38%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Raufoss (draw refunded)
57%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Raufoss at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.34 · 99 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.71 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Raufoss attack 1.42 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.56

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.33 + Raufoss defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Raufoss scores more
43%
level
25%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
33%

Raufoss at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Raufoss will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both sides lean high-scoring (78% and 77% over 2.5)
  • 78% of Raufoss’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Raufoss score first in only 28% of matches
  • 77% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • ODD Ballklubb score first in only 31% of matches
  • Both teams score in 72% of Raufoss’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Raufoss
WLWLL
Ballklubb
LDDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Raufoss host ODD Ballklubb

September 13, 2026: Raufoss take on ODD Ballklubb in 1. Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Raufoss host ODD Ballklubb at NAMMO Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.