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Rapide Oued ZEM vs Olympique Dcheïra — Botola 2 2025

Rapide Oued ZEM
Rapide Oued ZEM
FT
2 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Olympique Dcheïra
Olympique Dcheïra
3/2/2025Botola 2Botola 2 · Round 19Stade Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Rapide Oued ZEM39%
×Draw30%
Olympique Dcheïra31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapide Oued ZEM
1.12
Olympique Dcheïra
0.97

Rapide Oued ZEM creates 15% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 105 away

creates per match

Rapide Oued ZEM
1.07
Olympique Dcheïra
1.13

allows per match

Rapide Oued ZEM
0.82
Olympique Dcheïra
1.17

finishing

Rapide Oued ZEM+0.00on par
Olympique Dcheïra+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapide Oued ZEM ↓

Olympique Dcheïra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Rapide Oued ZEM or draw
69%
Rapide Oued ZEM or Olympique Dcheïra
70%
Draw or Olympique Dcheïra
61%

Winning margin

Rapide Oued ZEM wins by 2+
16%
Olympique Dcheïra wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Rapide Oued ZEM 1+ goals
67%
Rapide Oued ZEM 2+ goals
31%
Rapide Oued ZEM 3+ goals
10%
Olympique Dcheïra 1+ goals
62%
Olympique Dcheïra 2+ goals
25%
Olympique Dcheïra 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Rapide Oued ZEM (draw refunded)
55%
Olympique Dcheïra (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapide Oued ZEM at home — creates 1.07, concedes 0.82 · 44 matches

Olympique Dcheïra away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.17 · 105 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapide Oued ZEM attack 1.07 + Olympique Dcheïra defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.12

Olympique Dcheïra attack 1.13 + Rapide Oued ZEM defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Rapide Oued ZEM scores more
39%
level
30%
Olympique Dcheïra scores more
31%

Rapide Oued ZEM at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Rapide Oued ZEM will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola 2: Rapide Oued ZEM 2–3 Olympique Dcheïra

Olympique Dcheïra beat Rapide Oued ZEM 3-2 in Botola 2 on March 2, 2025.

The match was played at Stade Municipal in Oued Zem.