Radnik Hadžići 2–0 Tuzla City: Result & Stats

Radnik Hadžići

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Tuzla City

B. Sehic 88'

A. Sabljica 49'

5/9/2026

1st League - FBiH · FBiH - 22Gradski stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Radnik Hadžići60%

×Draw24%

Tuzla City16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Radnik HadžićiExpected goals in this matchTuzla City

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

0.72

Radnik Hadžići

1.67

Tuzla City

0.72

Radnik Hadžići creates 132% more chances

Season form · 96 home / 27 away

1.16

creates per match

0.48

0.96

allows per match

2.19

creates per match

Radnik Hadžići

1.16

Tuzla City

0.48

allows per match

Radnik Hadžići

0.96

Tuzla City

2.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Radnik Hadžići+0.00on par

Tuzla City+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnik Hadžići ↓

Tuzla City →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–17%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Radnik Hadžići or draw

84%

Radnik Hadžići or Tuzla City

76%

Draw or Tuzla City

40%

Winning margin

Radnik Hadžići wins by 2+

34%

Tuzla City wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Radnik Hadžići 1+ goals

81%

Radnik Hadžići 2+ goals

50%

Radnik Hadžići 3+ goals

23%

Tuzla City 1+ goals

51%

Tuzla City 2+ goals

16%

Tuzla City 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Radnik Hadžići (draw refunded)

79%

Tuzla City (draw refunded)

21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnik Hadžići at home — creates 1.16, concedes 0.96 · 96 matches

Tuzla City away — creates 0.48, concedes 2.19 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnik Hadžići attack 1.16 + Tuzla City defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 1.67

Tuzla City attack 0.48 + Radnik Hadžići defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Radnik Hadžići scores more

60%

level

24%

Tuzla City scores more

16%

Radnik Hadžići at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Radnik Hadžići will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

49'

A. Sabljica

88'

B. Sehic

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff