Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Radnički Zrenjanin vs RFK Novi Sad — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Radnički Zrenjanin
Radnički Zrenjanin
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
RFK Novi Sad
RFK Novi Sad
3/22/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 18Stadion kod Skrobare

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Radnički Zrenjanin54%
×Draw23%
RFK Novi Sad23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnički Zrenjanin
1.77
RFK Novi Sad
1.07

Radnički Zrenjanin creates 65% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 15 away

creates per match

Radnički Zrenjanin
1.62
RFK Novi Sad
1.07

allows per match

Radnički Zrenjanin
1.07
RFK Novi Sad
1.93

finishing

Radnički Zrenjanin+0.00on par
RFK Novi Sad+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnički Zrenjanin ↓

RFK Novi Sad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Radnički Zrenjanin or draw
77%
Radnički Zrenjanin or RFK Novi Sad
77%
Draw or RFK Novi Sad
46%

Winning margin

Radnički Zrenjanin wins by 2+
30%
RFK Novi Sad wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Radnički Zrenjanin 1+ goals
83%
Radnički Zrenjanin 2+ goals
53%
Radnički Zrenjanin 3+ goals
26%
RFK Novi Sad 1+ goals
66%
RFK Novi Sad 2+ goals
29%
RFK Novi Sad 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Radnički Zrenjanin (draw refunded)
70%
RFK Novi Sad (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnički Zrenjanin at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.07 · 87 matches

RFK Novi Sad away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnički Zrenjanin attack 1.62 + RFK Novi Sad defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.77

RFK Novi Sad attack 1.07 + Radnički Zrenjanin defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Radnički Zrenjanin scores more
54%
level
23%
RFK Novi Sad scores more
23%

Radnički Zrenjanin at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Radnički Zrenjanin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Radnički Zrenjanin 1–0 RFK Novi Sad

Radnički Zrenjanin beat RFK Novi Sad 1-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on March 22, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion kod Skrobare in Zrenjanin.