Radnički Svilajnac 6–0 Dinamo Jug: Result & Stats

Radnički Svilajnac

FT

6 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Dinamo Jug

6/15/2025

Srpska Liga - East · East - 30Stadion Bojača

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Radnički Svilajnac46%

×Draw23%

Dinamo Jug31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Radnički SvilajnacExpected goals in this matchDinamo Jug

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.85

1.49

Radnički Svilajnac

1.85

Dinamo Jug

1.49

Radnički Svilajnac creates 24% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 15 away

2.23

creates per match

1.87

1.10

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Radnički Svilajnac

2.23

Dinamo Jug

1.87

allows per match

Radnički Svilajnac

1.10

Dinamo Jug

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Radnički Svilajnac+0.00on par

Dinamo Jug+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnički Svilajnac ↓

Dinamo Jug →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Radnički Svilajnac or draw

69%

Radnički Svilajnac or Dinamo Jug

77%

Draw or Dinamo Jug

54%

Winning margin

Radnički Svilajnac wins by 2+

25%

Dinamo Jug wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Radnički Svilajnac 1+ goals

84%

Radnički Svilajnac 2+ goals

55%

Radnički Svilajnac 3+ goals

28%

Dinamo Jug 1+ goals

77%

Dinamo Jug 2+ goals

44%

Dinamo Jug 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Radnički Svilajnac (draw refunded)

60%

Dinamo Jug (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnički Svilajnac at home — creates 2.23, concedes 1.10 · 79 matches

Dinamo Jug away — creates 1.87, concedes 1.47 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnički Svilajnac attack 2.23 + Dinamo Jug defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.85

Dinamo Jug attack 1.87 + Radnički Svilajnac defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Radnički Svilajnac scores more

46%

level

23%

Dinamo Jug scores more

31%

Radnički Svilajnac at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Radnički Svilajnac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff