Radnicki NIS 0–1 Vojvodina: Result & Stats

Radnicki NIS

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Vojvodina

11/8/2025

Super Liga · Round 15Cair Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 146+ matches

Radnicki NIS40%

×Draw26%

Vojvodina34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Radnicki NISExpected goals in this matchVojvodina

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.25

Radnicki NIS

1.40

Vojvodina

1.25

Radnicki NIS creates 12% more chances

Season form · 147 home / 146 away

1.54

creates per match

1.36

1.13

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Radnicki NIS

1.54

Vojvodina

1.36

allows per match

Radnicki NIS

1.13

Vojvodina

1.26

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Radnicki NIS+0.00on par

Vojvodina+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki NIS ↓

Vojvodina →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Radnicki NIS or draw

66%

Radnicki NIS or Vojvodina

74%

Draw or Vojvodina

60%

Winning margin

Radnicki NIS wins by 2+

19%

Vojvodina wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Radnicki NIS 1+ goals

75%

Radnicki NIS 2+ goals

41%

Radnicki NIS 3+ goals

17%

Vojvodina 1+ goals

71%

Vojvodina 2+ goals

36%

Vojvodina 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Radnicki NIS (draw refunded)

55%

Vojvodina (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki NIS at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.13 · 147 matches

Vojvodina away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.26 · 146 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki NIS attack 1.54 + Vojvodina defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.40

Vojvodina attack 1.36 + Radnicki NIS defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Radnicki NIS scores more

40%

level

26%

Vojvodina scores more

34%

Radnicki NIS at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Radnicki NIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff