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Radnicki NIS vs Cukaricki — Super Liga 2026

Radnicki NIS
Radnicki NIS
Preview
16:00
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
7/25/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 2
Big match
43%
Radnicki NIS
model favours
43%26%31%

Cukaricki score first in only 8% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 141+ matches

Radnicki NIS43%
×Draw26%
Cukaricki31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnicki NIS
1.46
Cukaricki
1.21

Radnicki NIS creates 21% more chances

Season form · 147 home / 141 away

creates per match

Radnicki NIS
1.55
Cukaricki
1.30

allows per match

Radnicki NIS
1.13
Cukaricki
1.36

finishing

Radnicki NIS+0.00on par
Cukaricki+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki NIS ↓

Cukaricki →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Radnicki NIS or draw
69%
Radnicki NIS or Cukaricki
74%
Draw or Cukaricki
57%

Winning margin

Radnicki NIS wins by 2+
21%
Cukaricki wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Radnicki NIS 1+ goals
77%
Radnicki NIS 2+ goals
43%
Radnicki NIS 3+ goals
18%
Cukaricki 1+ goals
70%
Cukaricki 2+ goals
34%
Cukaricki 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Radnicki NIS (draw refunded)
58%
Cukaricki (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki NIS at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.13 · 147 matches

Cukaricki away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.36 · 141 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki NIS attack 1.55 + Cukaricki defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.46

Cukaricki attack 1.30 + Radnicki NIS defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Radnicki NIS scores more
43%
level
26%
Cukaricki scores more
31%

Radnicki NIS at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Radnicki NIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Cukaricki win just 42% against the top half (vs 71% against the bottom)
  • Radnicki NIS outscore their xG (1.1 vs 0.6 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Radnicki NIS
Balanced
Cukaricki
Balanced
51%Possession46%
76%Pass accuracy75%
11.8Shots11.2
0.63xGBiggest gap1.32
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Radnicki NISCukaricki

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

0
Radnicki NIS
5
Draws
5
Cukaricki
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 50%
1–21–12–22–20–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
NIS
LLWLW
Cukaricki
LDWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Radnicki NIS host Cukaricki

July 25, 2026: Radnicki NIS take on Cukaricki in Super Liga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.