Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar — Super Liga 2026

Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Novi Pazar
Novi Pazar
11/26/2023Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 16Stadion Čika Dača

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 93+ matches

Radnicki 192345%
×Draw25%
Novi Pazar29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnicki 1923
1.53
Novi Pazar
1.18

Radnicki 1923 creates 30% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 114 away

creates per match

Radnicki 1923
1.44
Novi Pazar
1.07

allows per match

Radnicki 1923
1.28
Novi Pazar
1.63

finishing

Radnicki 1923+0.00on par
Novi Pazar+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki 1923 ↓

Novi Pazar →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Radnicki 1923 or draw
71%
Radnicki 1923 or Novi Pazar
75%
Draw or Novi Pazar
55%

Winning margin

Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
23%
Novi Pazar wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
78%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
45%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
20%
Novi Pazar 1+ goals
69%
Novi Pazar 2+ goals
33%
Novi Pazar 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
61%
Novi Pazar (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki 1923 at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.28 · 93 matches

Novi Pazar away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.63 · 114 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.44 + Novi Pazar defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.53

Novi Pazar attack 1.07 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Radnicki 1923 scores more
45%
level
25%
Novi Pazar scores more
29%

Radnicki 1923 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: Radnicki 1923 0–4 Novi Pazar

Novi Pazar beat Radnicki 1923 4-0 in Super Liga on November 26, 2023.

The match was played at Stadion Čika Dača in Kragujevac.