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Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Beograd — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
IMT Novi Beograd
IMT Novi Beograd
A. Jelic 88'
7/11/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Radnicki 192363%
×Draw21%
IMT Novi Beograd16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnicki 1923
2.00
IMT Novi Beograd
0.88

Radnicki 1923 creates 127% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 7 away

creates per match

Radnicki 1923
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
0.86

allows per match

Radnicki 1923
0.90
IMT Novi Beograd
2.29

finishing

Radnicki 1923+0.00on par
IMT Novi Beograd+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki 1923 ↓

IMT Novi Beograd →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Radnicki 1923 or draw
84%
Radnicki 1923 or IMT Novi Beograd
79%
Draw or IMT Novi Beograd
37%

Winning margin

Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
39%
IMT Novi Beograd wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
86%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
59%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
32%
IMT Novi Beograd 1+ goals
59%
IMT Novi Beograd 2+ goals
22%
IMT Novi Beograd 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
80%
IMT Novi Beograd (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki 1923 at home — creates 1.70, concedes 0.90 · 10 matches

IMT Novi Beograd away — creates 0.86, concedes 2.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.70 + IMT Novi Beograd defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.00

IMT Novi Beograd attack 0.86 + Radnicki 1923 defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Radnicki 1923 scores more
63%
level
21%
IMT Novi Beograd scores more
16%

Radnicki 1923 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

88'
A. Jelic
Radnicki
IMT
Fedja Dudic
Manager: Fedja Dudic
Zoran Vasiljevic
Manager: Zoran Vasiljevic

Match Recap: Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Beograd

Radnicki 1923 beat IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 11, 2026.

Goals: A. Jelic (88').