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Radnicki 1923 vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV — Super Liga 2026

Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
4/27/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Relegation Group - 33

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 93+ matches

Radnicki 192345%
×Draw26%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnicki 1923
1.48
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.13

Radnicki 1923 creates 31% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 145 away

creates per match

Radnicki 1923
1.44
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0.97

allows per match

Radnicki 1923
1.28
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.53

finishing

Radnicki 1923+0.00on par
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki 1923 ↓

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Radnicki 1923 or draw
71%
Radnicki 1923 or FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
74%
Draw or FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
55%

Winning margin

Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
22%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
77%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
43%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
19%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1+ goals
68%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2+ goals
31%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
61%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki 1923 at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.28 · 93 matches

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.53 · 145 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.44 + FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.48

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV attack 0.97 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Radnicki 1923 scores more
45%
level
26%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV scores more
29%

Radnicki 1923 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: Radnicki 1923 4–0 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Radnicki 1923 beat FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 4-0 in Super Liga on April 27, 2026.