Racing Santander 0–0 SS Reyes: Result & Stats

Racing Santander

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

SS Reyes

1/9/2022

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 18Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Racing Santander58%

×Draw26%

SS Reyes16%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Racing SantanderExpected goals in this matchSS Reyes

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

0.68

Racing Santander

1.54

SS Reyes

0.68

Racing Santander creates 126% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 53 away

1.72

creates per match

0.92

0.44

allows per match

1.36

creates per match

Racing Santander

1.72

SS Reyes

0.92

allows per match

Racing Santander

0.44

SS Reyes

1.36

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Racing Santander+0.00on par

SS Reyes+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Racing Santander ↓

SS Reyes →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Racing Santander or draw

84%

Racing Santander or SS Reyes

74%

Draw or SS Reyes

42%

Winning margin

Racing Santander wins by 2+

31%

SS Reyes wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Racing Santander 1+ goals

79%

Racing Santander 2+ goals

45%

Racing Santander 3+ goals

20%

SS Reyes 1+ goals

49%

SS Reyes 2+ goals

15%

SS Reyes 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Racing Santander (draw refunded)

78%

SS Reyes (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Racing Santander at home — creates 1.72, concedes 0.44 · 18 matches

SS Reyes away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.36 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Racing Santander attack 1.72 + SS Reyes defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.54

SS Reyes attack 0.92 + Racing Santander defence 0.44 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Racing Santander scores more

58%

level

26%

SS Reyes scores more

16%

Racing Santander at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Racing Santander will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

48'

I. Sainz-Maza

61'

Álvaro Bustos← C. Omoigui

61'

J. Harper← Marco Camús

64'

Dani Molina← Jime

77'

Arturo← Eneko Jauregi

79'

Manu Justo← S. Soko

85'

Yeray Cabanzón← Pablo Torre

88'

Carlos Portero← Raúl Hernández

88'

Mario González← Borja Sánchez

Racing

SS

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Guillermo Fernández

61'▲Álvaro Bustos←▼C. Omoigui

61'▲J. Harper←▼Marco Camús

79'▲Manu Justo←▼S. Soko

85'▲Yeray Cabanzón←▼Pablo Torre

Racing Santander substitutes

BustosHarperJustoCabanzónGonzálezCeballosLópezDíazJorrínBobadillaMarcos

Manager: Marcos Jiménez

64'▲Dani Molina←▼Jime

77'▲Arturo←▼Eneko Jauregi

88'▲Carlos Portero←▼Raúl Hernández

88'▲Mario González←▼Borja Sánchez

SS Reyes substitutes

MolinaArturoPorteroGonzálezFomeyemAndrésRueda

Primera División RFEF - Group 1: Racing Santander 0–0 SS Reyes

Racing Santander and SS Reyes drew 0-0 in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on January 9, 2022.

The match was played at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in Santander.

Racing Santander vs SS Reyes — Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Primera División RFEF - Group 1: Racing Santander 0–0 SS Reyes