Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

RAAL La Louvière vs Lokeren-Temse — League #145 2026

RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Lokeren-Temse
Lokeren-Temse
M. Guindo 55', 30'
9/22/2024League #145League #145 · Round 5Stade Communal du Tivoli

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

RAAL La Louvière50%
×Draw31%
Lokeren-Temse19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RAAL La Louvière
1.17
Lokeren-Temse
0.60

RAAL La Louvière creates 95% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 5 away

creates per match

RAAL La Louvière
1.33
Lokeren-Temse
1.20

allows per match

RAAL La Louvière
0.00
Lokeren-Temse
1.00

finishing

RAAL La Louvière+0.00on par
Lokeren-Temse+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Under
  • Under74
  • Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RAAL La Louvière ↓

Lokeren-Temse →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–110%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
53%47%2.5
26%74%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

RAAL La Louvière or draw
81%
RAAL La Louvière or Lokeren-Temse
69%
Draw or Lokeren-Temse
50%

Winning margin

RAAL La Louvière wins by 2+
22%
Lokeren-Temse wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

RAAL La Louvière 1+ goals
69%
RAAL La Louvière 2+ goals
33%
RAAL La Louvière 3+ goals
11%
Lokeren-Temse 1+ goals
45%
Lokeren-Temse 2+ goals
12%
Lokeren-Temse 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

RAAL La Louvière (draw refunded)
72%
Lokeren-Temse (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RAAL La Louvière at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.00 · 3 matches

Lokeren-Temse away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RAAL La Louvière attack 1.33 + Lokeren-Temse defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

Lokeren-Temse attack 1.20 + RAAL La Louvière defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

RAAL La Louvière scores more
50%
level
31%
Lokeren-Temse scores more
19%

RAAL La Louvière at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "RAAL La Louvière will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9
M. GuindoRAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière · F
8.3

Match Events

30'
M. Guindo↳ J. Liongola
49'
Samuel Gueulette
55'
M. Guindo↳ O. Maës
58'
Sam Van Aerschot
62'
Owen Maes
64'
S. Ntamack← O. Myny
64'
J. Dianganga← A. Cassaert
67'
F. Gobitaka← A. Bongiovanni
67'
M. Pau← S. Lahssaini
72'
D. Seck← M. Soumaré
76'
Naïm Boujouh
77'
V. Corneillie← W. Faye
77'
K. Nagera← M. Guindo
84'
Jarno Vervaque
89'
R. Eyongo← M. Belkheir
89'
R. Van Hauter← S. Brebels

Possession

50%RAAL

Shots

11RAAL

Pass accuracy

51%RAAL

Statistics

RAALLokeren-Temse
Overview
50%Possession50%
11Total Shots13
6Corners4
15Fouls16
Shots
11Total Shots13
3On Target3
5Off Target5
3Blocked5
4Inside Box7
7Outside Box6
Passing
50%Possession50%
326Total Passes336
261Accurate Passes258
80%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
Discipline
15Fouls16
2Yellow Cards3
3Offsides5

League #145: RAAL La Louvière 2–0 Lokeren-Temse

RAAL La Louvière beat Lokeren-Temse 2-0 in League #145 on September 22, 2024.

Goals: M. Guindo (30', 55').

RAAL La Louvière controlled possession (50%) and registered 11 shots to 13.

The match was played at Stade Communal du Tivoli in La Louvière.