Lokeren-Temse 2–3 RAAL La Louvière: Result & Stats

Lokeren-Temse

FT

2 – 3

HT: 0 – 0

RAAL La Louvière

Unknown 54'

V. R. Mabanza 48' (pen)

M. Guindo 83'

E. Filet 68'

S. Gourville 59'

7/11/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Lokeren-Temse39%

×Draw22%

RAAL La Louvière39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Lokeren-TemseExpected goals in this matchRAAL La Louvière

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.88

Lokeren-Temse

1.88

RAAL La Louvière

1.88

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

3.00

creates per match

2.50

1.25

allows per match

0.75

creates per match

Lokeren-Temse

3.00

RAAL La Louvière

2.50

allows per match

Lokeren-Temse

1.25

RAAL La Louvière

0.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Lokeren-Temse+0.00on par

RAAL La Louvière+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokeren-Temse ↓

RAAL La Louvière →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–24%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–35%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

52%48%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Lokeren-Temse or draw

61%

Lokeren-Temse or RAAL La Louvière

78%

Draw or RAAL La Louvière

61%

Winning margin

Lokeren-Temse wins by 2+

21%

RAAL La Louvière wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Lokeren-Temse 1+ goals

85%

Lokeren-Temse 2+ goals

56%

Lokeren-Temse 3+ goals

29%

RAAL La Louvière 1+ goals

85%

RAAL La Louvière 2+ goals

56%

RAAL La Louvière 3+ goals

29%

Draw no bet

Lokeren-Temse (draw refunded)

50%

RAAL La Louvière (draw refunded)

50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

63%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokeren-Temse at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

RAAL La Louvière away — creates 2.50, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokeren-Temse attack 3.00 + RAAL La Louvière defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.88

RAAL La Louvière attack 2.50 + Lokeren-Temse defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Lokeren-Temse scores more

39%

level

22%

RAAL La Louvière scores more

39%

Lokeren-Temse at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Lokeren-Temse will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

48'

V. R. MabanzaPenalty

54'

59'

S. Gourville

67'

68'

E. Filet

80'

83'

M. Guindo

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff