Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Quanzhou Yassin vs Rizhao Yuqi — League Two 2022

Quanzhou Yassin
Quanzhou Yassin
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 0
Rizhao Yuqi
Rizhao Yuqi
10/25/2025League TwoLeague Two · Relegation Round - 8Jinjiang Football Training Center Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

Quanzhou Yassin34%
×Draw29%
Rizhao Yuqi37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Quanzhou Yassin
1.10
Rizhao Yuqi
1.15

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 48 home / 36 away

creates per match

Quanzhou Yassin
0.88
Rizhao Yuqi
0.92

allows per match

Quanzhou Yassin
1.38
Rizhao Yuqi
1.33

finishing

Quanzhou Yassin+0.00on par
Rizhao Yuqi+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Quanzhou Yassin ↓

Rizhao Yuqi →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Quanzhou Yassin or draw
63%
Quanzhou Yassin or Rizhao Yuqi
71%
Draw or Rizhao Yuqi
66%

Winning margin

Quanzhou Yassin wins by 2+
14%
Rizhao Yuqi wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Quanzhou Yassin 1+ goals
67%
Quanzhou Yassin 2+ goals
30%
Quanzhou Yassin 3+ goals
10%
Rizhao Yuqi 1+ goals
68%
Rizhao Yuqi 2+ goals
32%
Rizhao Yuqi 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Quanzhou Yassin (draw refunded)
48%
Rizhao Yuqi (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Quanzhou Yassin at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.38 · 48 matches

Rizhao Yuqi away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.33 · 36 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Quanzhou Yassin attack 0.88 + Rizhao Yuqi defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.10

Rizhao Yuqi attack 0.92 + Quanzhou Yassin defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Quanzhou Yassin scores more
34%
level
29%
Rizhao Yuqi scores more
37%

Rizhao Yuqi at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Rizhao Yuqi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Quanzhou Yassin vs Rizhao Yuqi

Rizhao Yuqi beat Quanzhou Yassin 4-0 in League Two on October 25, 2025.

The match was played at Jinjiang Football Training Center Stadium in Jinjiang.