Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
75%
Over
25%
Under
Both Score
72%
Yes
28%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9%
1-1
7%
2-2
7%
xG Profile (5 home / 6 away matches)
Qarabag
xG 1.38 · xGA 2.15
+0.62 vs xG
Newcastle
xG 2.43 · xGA 1.89
+0.24 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Qarabag vs Newcastle — UEFA Champions League 2026
UEFA Champions League·2026📍Tofiq Bahramov Stadium- Date
- Feb 18, 2026, 5:45 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · Round of 32
- Referee
- E. Eskas
- Venue
- Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Qarabag
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51662%
- Under 2.51038%
Both teams scored
- Yes1558%
- No1142%
Newcastle
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54460%
- Under 2.52940%
Both teams scored
- Yes4967%
- No2433%
Match Events
Head to Head
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Qarabag
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Club Brugge KV
Pafos
FC Copenhagen
Newcastle
Liverpool
Bodo/Glimt
Tottenham
Sporting CP
Benfica
Bayer Leverkusen
Juventus
Manchester City
Chelsea
Galatasaray
Atalanta
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
Ferencvarosi TC
Malmo FF
Kairat Almaty
Olympiakos Piraeus
FK Crvena Zvezda
Monaco
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
PSV Eindhoven
Shkendija
Athletic Club
Napoli
Lech Poznan
Slovan Bratislava
KuPS
Zrinjski
Rangers
Dynamo Kyiv
Plzen
Drita
Rīgas FS
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Ludogorets
Ajax
Red Bull Salzburg
Fenerbahçe
FC Noah
Shelbourne
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dinamo Minsk
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FCSB
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Servette FC
Feyenoord
Breidablik
Sturm Graz
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Hamrun Spartans
Slavia Praha
HNK Rijeka
The New Saints
Celtic
Buducnost Podgorica
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Linfield
Milsami Orhei
FC Basel 1893
Panathinaikos
Olimpija Ljubljana
Brann
Villarreal
FC Differdange 03
Vikingur Gota
FC Levadia Tallinn
Virtus
Saburtalo
NiceIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Qarabag host Newcastle on Wednesday, 18 February 2026 at 17:45. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
UEFA Champions League: Qarabag 1–6 Newcastle
Newcastle beat Qarabag 6-1 in UEFA Champions League on February 18, 2026.
Goals: A. Gordon (3', 32' pen, 33', 45' pen), M. Thiaw (8'), E. Cafarquliyev (54'), J. Murphy (72').
Newcastle controlled possession (58%) and registered 22 shots to 8.
The match was played at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku.