Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Newcastle 76%Draw 15%10% Qarabag
2.66Expected xG0.84

Over / Under 2.5

67%

Over

33%

Under

Both Score

53%

Yes

47%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-0

11%

3-0

10%

2-1

9%

xG Profile (6 home / 5 away matches)

Newcastle

xG 1.94 · xGA 0.88

+0.23 vs xG

Qarabag

xG 0.81 · xGA 3.37

+0.39 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Newcastle vs QarabagUEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍St James' Park
Newcastle
Newcastleadvanced
FT
32
HT: 20
Qarabag
Qarabag
Date
Feb 24, 2026, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · Round of 32
Referee
D. Massa
Venue
St James' Park, Newcastle

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Newcastle

Over / Under 2.5

60%over 2.5
  • Over 2.54460%
  • Under 2.52940%

Both teams scored

67%BTTS
  • Yes4967%
  • No2433%

Qarabag

Over / Under 2.5

62%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51662%
  • Under 2.51038%

Both teams scored

58%BTTS
  • Yes1558%
  • No1142%

Possession

65%Newcastle

Shots

19Newcastle

Pass accuracy

53%Newcastle

Statistics

NewcastleQarabag
Overview
65%Possession35%
19Total Shots13
2.66Expected Goals (xG)1.30
9Corners6
10Fouls4
Shots
19Total Shots13
8On Target6
4Off Target5
7Blocked2
14Inside Box8
5Outside Box5
Passing
65%Possession35%
604Total Passes327
538Accurate Passes260
89%Pass Accuracy80%
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
0.81Goals Prevented0.81
Discipline
10Fouls4
0Yellow Cards1
0Offsides2

Newcastle 3 – 2 Qarabag

Newcastle beat Qarabag 3-2 in UEFA Champions League on February 24, 2026.

Goals: S. Tonali (4'), Joelinton (6'), C. Duran (51'), S. Botman (52'), E. Cafarquliyev (57').

Newcastle controlled possession (65%) and registered 19 shots to 13.

The match was played at St James' Park in Newcastle.