Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
67%
Over
33%
Under
Both Score
53%
Yes
47%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11%
3-0
10%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (6 home / 5 away matches)
Newcastle
xG 1.94 · xGA 0.88
+0.23 vs xG
Qarabag
xG 0.81 · xGA 3.37
+0.39 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Newcastle vs Qarabag — UEFA Champions League 2026
- Date
- Feb 24, 2026, 8:00 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · Round of 32
- Referee
- D. Massa
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Newcastle
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54460%
- Under 2.52940%
Both teams scored
- Yes4967%
- No2433%
Qarabag
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51662%
- Under 2.51038%
Both teams scored
- Yes1558%
- No1142%
Match Events

Head to Head
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Newcastle host Qarabag on Tuesday, 24 February 2026 at 20:00. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
Newcastle 3 – 2 Qarabag
Newcastle beat Qarabag 3-2 in UEFA Champions League on February 24, 2026.
Goals: S. Tonali (4'), Joelinton (6'), C. Duran (51'), S. Botman (52'), E. Cafarquliyev (57').
Newcastle controlled possession (65%) and registered 19 shots to 13.
The match was played at St James' Park in Newcastle.
























