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Pyramids FC vs Power Dynamos — CAF Champions League 2019

Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos
2/14/2026CAF Champions LeagueCAF Champions League · Round 630 June Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Pyramids FC68%
×Draw18%
Power Dynamos14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pyramids FC
2.28
Power Dynamos
0.92

Pyramids FC creates 148% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 6 away

creates per match

Pyramids FC
2.89
Power Dynamos
1.00

allows per match

Pyramids FC
0.83
Power Dynamos
1.67

finishing

Pyramids FC+0.00on par
Power Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pyramids FC ↓

Power Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Pyramids FC or draw
86%
Pyramids FC or Power Dynamos
82%
Draw or Power Dynamos
32%

Winning margin

Pyramids FC wins by 2+
44%
Power Dynamos wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Pyramids FC 1+ goals
90%
Pyramids FC 2+ goals
66%
Pyramids FC 3+ goals
39%
Power Dynamos 1+ goals
60%
Power Dynamos 2+ goals
23%
Power Dynamos 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)
83%
Power Dynamos (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pyramids FC at home — creates 2.89, concedes 0.83 · 18 matches

Power Dynamos away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pyramids FC attack 2.89 + Power Dynamos defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.28

Power Dynamos attack 1.00 + Pyramids FC defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Pyramids FC scores more
68%
level
18%
Power Dynamos scores more
14%

Pyramids FC at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Pyramids FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Pyramids FC vs Power Dynamos

Pyramids FC beat Power Dynamos 3-1 in CAF Champions League on February 14, 2026.

The match was played at 30 June Stadium in Cairo.