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Power Dynamos vs Pyramids FC — CAF Champions League 2019

Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC
11/29/2025CAF Champions LeagueCAF Champions League · Round 2Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Power Dynamos36%
×Draw34%
Pyramids FC30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Power Dynamos
0.89
Pyramids FC
0.78

Power Dynamos creates 14% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 18 away

creates per match

Power Dynamos
1.00
Pyramids FC
1.00

allows per match

Power Dynamos
0.57
Pyramids FC
0.78

finishing

Power Dynamos+0.00on par
Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Under
  • Under77
  • Over23

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Power Dynamos ↓

Pyramids FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–019%
0–115%
0–26%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (19%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
81%19%1.5
50%50%2.5
23%77%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Power Dynamos or draw
70%
Power Dynamos or Pyramids FC
66%
Draw or Pyramids FC
64%

Winning margin

Power Dynamos wins by 2+
13%
Pyramids FC wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Power Dynamos 1+ goals
59%
Power Dynamos 2+ goals
22%
Power Dynamos 3+ goals
6%
Pyramids FC 1+ goals
54%
Pyramids FC 2+ goals
18%
Pyramids FC 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Power Dynamos (draw refunded)
55%
Pyramids FC (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Power Dynamos at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.57 · 7 matches

Pyramids FC away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.78 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Power Dynamos attack 1.00 + Pyramids FC defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.89

Pyramids FC attack 1.00 + Power Dynamos defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Power Dynamos scores more
36%
level
34%
Pyramids FC scores more
30%

Power Dynamos at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Power Dynamos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Power Dynamos vs Pyramids FC

Pyramids FC beat Power Dynamos 1-0 in CAF Champions League on November 29, 2025.

The match was played at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in Ndola.