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Pyramids FC vs National Bank of Egypt — League Cup 2021

Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC
FT
1 – 6
HT: 0 – 5
National Bank of Egypt
National Bank of Egypt
12/9/2025League CupLeague Cup · Group Stage - 130 June Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Pyramids FC20%
×Draw21%
National Bank of Egypt59%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pyramids FC
1.17
National Bank of Egypt
2.12

National Bank of Egypt creates 81% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 15 away

creates per match

Pyramids FC
1.33
National Bank of Egypt
1.80

allows per match

Pyramids FC
2.44
National Bank of Egypt
1.00

finishing

Pyramids FC+0.00on par
National Bank of Egypt+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pyramids FC ↓

National Bank of Egypt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–28%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Pyramids FC or draw
41%
Pyramids FC or National Bank of Egypt
79%
Draw or National Bank of Egypt
80%

Winning margin

Pyramids FC wins by 2+
8%
National Bank of Egypt wins by 2+
36%

Team goals

Pyramids FC 1+ goals
69%
Pyramids FC 2+ goals
33%
Pyramids FC 3+ goals
11%
National Bank of Egypt 1+ goals
88%
National Bank of Egypt 2+ goals
62%
National Bank of Egypt 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)
26%
National Bank of Egypt (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pyramids FC at home — creates 1.33, concedes 2.44 · 9 matches

National Bank of Egypt away — creates 1.80, concedes 1.00 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pyramids FC attack 1.33 + National Bank of Egypt defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

National Bank of Egypt attack 1.80 + Pyramids FC defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Pyramids FC scores more
20%
level
21%
National Bank of Egypt scores more
59%

National Bank of Egypt at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "National Bank of Egypt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League Cup: Pyramids FC 1–6 National Bank of Egypt

National Bank of Egypt beat Pyramids FC 6-1 in League Cup on December 9, 2025.

The match was played at 30 June Stadium in Cairo.