Pyramids FC 1–0 Masr: Result & Stats

Pyramids FC

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Masr

M. Ziko 73'

9/18/2025

Premier League · Round 730 June Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 62+ matches

Pyramids FC52%

×Draw26%

Masr22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Pyramids FCExpected goals in this matchMasr

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

0.90

Pyramids FC

1.54

Masr

0.90

Pyramids FC creates 71% more chances

Season form · 126 home / 62 away

1.83

creates per match

1.03

0.77

allows per match

1.24

creates per match

Pyramids FC

1.83

Masr

1.03

allows per match

Pyramids FC

0.77

Masr

1.24

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Masr+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pyramids FC ↓

Masr →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Pyramids FC or draw

78%

Pyramids FC or Masr

74%

Draw or Masr

48%

Winning margin

Pyramids FC wins by 2+

27%

Masr wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Pyramids FC 1+ goals

79%

Pyramids FC 2+ goals

45%

Pyramids FC 3+ goals

20%

Masr 1+ goals

59%

Masr 2+ goals

23%

Masr 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)

70%

Masr (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pyramids FC at home — creates 1.83, concedes 0.77 · 126 matches

Masr away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.24 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pyramids FC attack 1.83 + Masr defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.54

Masr attack 1.03 + Pyramids FC defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Pyramids FC scores more

52%

level

26%

Masr scores more

22%

Pyramids FC at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Pyramids FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

15

M. Chibi

Pyramids FC · D

8.9

Match Events

14'

37'

40'

46'

46'

M. Ziko← Ewerton

52'

Ahmed Samy

54'

Ahmed Atef

55'

Maata Magassa

65'

Messi← M. Saad

66'

M. Reda← A. Atef

66'

F. Mayele← M. Hamdi

73'

M. Ziko↳ M. Chibi

75'

A. Emad← Abdelrahman El Sakran

75'

S. Hussein← A. Atef

76'

R. Khalil← M. Saber

88'

Zalaka← A. Magdi

90+4'

Osama Galal

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PyramidsMasr

Overview

70%Possession30%

13Total Shots4

3Corners3

10Fouls9

Shots

13Total Shots4

8On Target1

4Off Target1

1Blocked2

6Inside Box3

7Outside Box1

Passing

70%Possession30%

500Total Passes210

423Accurate Passes124

85%Pass Accuracy59%

Goalkeeping

1Saves7

Discipline

10Fouls9

4Yellow Cards2

3Offsides1