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PWD Bamenda vs Colombe — Elite One 2019

PWD Bamenda
PWD Bamenda
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Colombe
Colombe
Y. Aluyu 45'
N. Ikose 46'
J. Enow 24'
6/14/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 24

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 92+ matches

PWD Bamenda37%
×Draw30%
Colombe34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

PWD Bamenda
1.09
Colombe
1.03

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 93 home / 92 away

creates per match

PWD Bamenda
1.26
Colombe
1.18

allows per match

PWD Bamenda
0.89
Colombe
0.93

finishing

PWD Bamenda+0.00on par
Colombe+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

PWD Bamenda ↓

Colombe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

PWD Bamenda or draw
66%
PWD Bamenda or Colombe
70%
Draw or Colombe
63%

Winning margin

PWD Bamenda wins by 2+
15%
Colombe wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

PWD Bamenda 1+ goals
66%
PWD Bamenda 2+ goals
30%
PWD Bamenda 3+ goals
10%
Colombe 1+ goals
64%
Colombe 2+ goals
28%
Colombe 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

PWD Bamenda (draw refunded)
52%
Colombe (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

PWD Bamenda at home — creates 1.26, concedes 0.89 · 93 matches

Colombe away — creates 1.18, concedes 0.93 · 92 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

PWD Bamenda attack 1.26 + Colombe defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.09

Colombe attack 1.18 + PWD Bamenda defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

PWD Bamenda scores more
37%
level
30%
Colombe scores more
34%

PWD Bamenda at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "PWD Bamenda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

24'
J. Enow
45'
Y. Aluyu
46'
N. Ikose

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: PWD Bamenda 1–2 Colombe

Colombe beat PWD Bamenda 2-1 in Elite One on June 14, 2026.

Goals: J. Enow (24'), Y. Aluyu (45'), N. Ikose (46').