Puskas Academy 0–1 Slovan Liberec: Result & Stats

Puskas Academy

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Slovan Liberec

L. Masek 34'

1/15/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Puskas Academy43%

×Draw26%

Slovan Liberec31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Puskas AcademyExpected goals in this matchSlovan Liberec

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

1.18

Puskas Academy

1.43

Slovan Liberec

1.18

Puskas Academy creates 21% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 7 away

1.43

creates per match

1.29

1.07

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

Puskas Academy

1.43

Slovan Liberec

1.29

allows per match

Puskas Academy

1.07

Slovan Liberec

1.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Puskas Academy+0.00on par

Slovan Liberec+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Puskas Academy ↓

Slovan Liberec →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Puskas Academy or draw

69%

Puskas Academy or Slovan Liberec

74%

Draw or Slovan Liberec

57%

Winning margin

Puskas Academy wins by 2+

20%

Slovan Liberec wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Puskas Academy 1+ goals

76%

Puskas Academy 2+ goals

42%

Puskas Academy 3+ goals

17%

Slovan Liberec 1+ goals

69%

Slovan Liberec 2+ goals

33%

Slovan Liberec 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Puskas Academy (draw refunded)

58%

Slovan Liberec (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Puskas Academy at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.07 · 14 matches

Slovan Liberec away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Puskas Academy attack 1.43 + Slovan Liberec defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.43

Slovan Liberec attack 1.29 + Puskas Academy defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Puskas Academy scores more

43%

level

26%

Slovan Liberec scores more

31%

Puskas Academy at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Puskas Academy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

34'

L. Masek

60'

Puskas

Slovan

40

8

2

14

18

5

12

26

29

20

9

⚽

1

6

7

8

14

16

20

23

25

66

74

Manager: Zsolt Hornyak

Puskas Academy substitutes

24Markek10Dardai19Favorov21Harutyunyan30MagyarMondovics90Nemeth96Orjan15Semel22Szolnoki88Vekony

Manager: Radoslav Kovac

Slovan Liberec substitutes

1Krajcirik3Mikula16N'Guessan28Sychra15Lexa30Diakite17Julis21Letenay

Match Recap: Puskas Academy vs Slovan Liberec

Slovan Liberec beat Puskas Academy 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 15, 2026.

Goals: L. Masek (34').

Puskas Academy vs Slovan Liberec — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Puskas Academy vs Slovan Liberec