Prishtina e Re 0–4 Drita: Result & Stats | Cup

Prishtina e Re

FT

0 – 4

HT: 0 – 2

Drita

I. Zulfiu 88'

A. Manaj 59'

K. Selmani 45'

R. Broja 7'

2/27/2025

Cup · Quarter-finalsStadiumi Sami Kelmendi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Prishtina e Re32%

×Draw19%

Drita49%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Prishtina e ReExpected goals in this matchDrita

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.15

2.63

Prishtina e Re

2.15

Drita

2.63

Drita creates 22% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

3.67

creates per match

3.25

2.00

allows per match

0.63

creates per match

Prishtina e Re

3.67

Drita

3.25

allows per match

Prishtina e Re

2.00

Drita

0.63

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Prishtina e Re+0.00on par

Drita+0.00on par

Total goals

Over85
Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes82
No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Prishtina e Re ↓

Drita →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–23%

0–33%

0–42%

1

1–02%

1–15%

1–26%

1–36%

1–44%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–27%

2–36%

2–44%

3

3–01%

3–14%

3–25%

3–34%

3–43%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–23%

4–32%

4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

85%15%3.5

70%30%4.5

51%49%

Double chance

Prishtina e Re or draw

51%

Prishtina e Re or Drita

81%

Draw or Drita

68%

Winning margin

Prishtina e Re wins by 2+

17%

Drita wins by 2+

30%

Team goals

Prishtina e Re 1+ goals

88%

Prishtina e Re 2+ goals

63%

Prishtina e Re 3+ goals

36%

Drita 1+ goals

93%

Drita 2+ goals

73%

Drita 3+ goals

48%

Draw no bet

Prishtina e Re (draw refunded)

40%

Drita (draw refunded)

60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

77%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Prishtina e Re at home — creates 3.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

Drita away — creates 3.25, concedes 0.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Prishtina e Re attack 3.67 + Drita defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 2.15

Drita attack 3.25 + Prishtina e Re defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Prishtina e Re scores more

32%

level

19%

Drita scores more

49%

Drita at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Drita will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'

45'

59'

88'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff