Příbram II 4–0 Jiskra Domažlice II: Result & Stats

Příbram II

FT

4 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Jiskra Domažlice II

10/12/2024

4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 10Stadion Na Litavce

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Příbram II50%

×Draw21%

Jiskra Domažlice II28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Příbram IIExpected goals in this matchJiskra Domažlice II

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.08

1.52

Příbram II

2.08

Jiskra Domažlice II

1.52

Příbram II creates 37% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 60 away

1.62

creates per match

1.58

1.47

allows per match

2.55

creates per match

Příbram II

1.62

Jiskra Domažlice II

1.58

allows per match

Příbram II

1.47

Jiskra Domažlice II

2.55

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Příbram II+0.00on par

Jiskra Domažlice II+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Příbram II ↓

Jiskra Domažlice II →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

70%30%3.5

48%52%4.5

29%71%

Double chance

Příbram II or draw

72%

Příbram II or Jiskra Domažlice II

79%

Draw or Jiskra Domažlice II

50%

Winning margin

Příbram II wins by 2+

29%

Jiskra Domažlice II wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Příbram II 1+ goals

87%

Příbram II 2+ goals

61%

Příbram II 3+ goals

34%

Jiskra Domažlice II 1+ goals

78%

Jiskra Domažlice II 2+ goals

45%

Jiskra Domažlice II 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Příbram II (draw refunded)

64%

Jiskra Domažlice II (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

60%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Příbram II at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.47 · 45 matches

Jiskra Domažlice II away — creates 1.58, concedes 2.55 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Příbram II attack 1.62 + Jiskra Domažlice II defence 2.55 → ÷2 → 2.08

Jiskra Domažlice II attack 1.58 + Příbram II defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Příbram II scores more

50%

level

21%

Jiskra Domažlice II scores more

28%

Příbram II at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Příbram II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Příbram II vs Jiskra Domažlice II

Příbram II beat Jiskra Domažlice II 4-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on October 12, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Na Litavce in Příbram.

Příbram II vs Jiskra Domažlice II — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Příbram II vs Jiskra Domažlice II