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Preussen Munster vs Eintracht Braunschweig — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Preussen Munster
Preussen Munster
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
Adlertrager 73'
Unknown 32'
J. Grodowski 24'
M. Multhaup 23'
7/11/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Takko-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Preussen Munster43%
×Draw21%
Eintracht Braunschweig36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Preussen Munster
2.02
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.82

Preussen Munster creates 11% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 11 away

creates per match

Preussen Munster
2.86
Eintracht Braunschweig
2.36

allows per match

Preussen Munster
1.29
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.18

finishing

Preussen Munster+0.00on par
Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Preussen Munster ↓

Eintracht Braunschweig →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
53%47%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Preussen Munster or draw
64%
Preussen Munster or Eintracht Braunschweig
79%
Draw or Eintracht Braunschweig
57%

Winning margin

Preussen Munster wins by 2+
24%
Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Preussen Munster 1+ goals
87%
Preussen Munster 2+ goals
60%
Preussen Munster 3+ goals
33%
Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
84%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
54%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Preussen Munster (draw refunded)
55%
Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Preussen Munster at home — creates 2.86, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Eintracht Braunschweig away — creates 2.36, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Preussen Munster attack 2.86 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 2.02

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 2.36 + Preussen Munster defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Preussen Munster scores more
43%
level
21%
Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
36%

Preussen Munster at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Preussen Munster will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'
M. Multhaup
24'
J. Grodowski
32'
73'
Adlertrager
Preussen
Eintracht
S. Hildmann
Manager: S. Hildmann
M. Schiele
Manager: M. Schiele

Friendlies Clubs: Preussen Munster 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

Preussen Munster beat Eintracht Braunschweig 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 11, 2023.

Goals: M. Multhaup (23'), J. Grodowski (24'), ? (32'), Adlertrager (73').

The match was played at Takko-Stadion in Telgte.