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Preussen Munster vs Eintracht Braunschweig — League #80 2026

Preussen Munster
Preussen Munster
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
11/11/2019League #80League #80 · Round 15Preußen-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Preussen Munster55%
×Draw24%
Eintracht Braunschweig21%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Preussen Munster
1.70
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.94

Preussen Munster creates 81% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 7 away

creates per match

Preussen Munster
1.54
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.71

allows per match

Preussen Munster
1.17
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.86

finishing

Preussen Munster+0.00on par
Eintracht Braunschweig+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Preussen Munster ↓

Eintracht Braunschweig →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Preussen Munster or draw
79%
Preussen Munster or Eintracht Braunschweig
76%
Draw or Eintracht Braunschweig
45%

Winning margin

Preussen Munster wins by 2+
30%
Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Preussen Munster 1+ goals
82%
Preussen Munster 2+ goals
51%
Preussen Munster 3+ goals
24%
Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
61%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
24%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Preussen Munster (draw refunded)
73%
Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Preussen Munster at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.17 · 24 matches

Eintracht Braunschweig away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Preussen Munster attack 1.54 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.70

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.71 + Preussen Munster defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Preussen Munster scores more
55%
level
24%
Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
21%

Preussen Munster at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Preussen Munster will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #80: Preussen Munster 1–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

Preussen Munster and Eintracht Braunschweig drew 1-1 in League #80 on November 11, 2019.

The match was played at Preußen-Stadion in Münster.