Preußen Münster II 3–1 Ennepetal: Result & Stats

Preußen Münster II

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Ennepetal

8/31/2025

Oberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 4LVM-Youngstars-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 88+ matches

Preußen Münster II56%

×Draw20%

Ennepetal24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Preußen Münster IIExpected goals in this matchEnnepetal

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

1.44

Preußen Münster II

2.29

Ennepetal

1.44

Preußen Münster II creates 59% more chances

Season form · 90 home / 88 away

2.44

creates per match

1.33

1.54

allows per match

2.14

creates per match

Preußen Münster II

2.44

Ennepetal

1.33

allows per match

Preußen Münster II

1.54

Ennepetal

2.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Preußen Münster II+0.00on par

Ennepetal+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Preußen Münster II ↓

Ennepetal →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

51%49%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Preußen Münster II or draw

76%

Preußen Münster II or Ennepetal

80%

Draw or Ennepetal

44%

Winning margin

Preußen Münster II wins by 2+

35%

Ennepetal wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Preußen Münster II 1+ goals

90%

Preußen Münster II 2+ goals

66%

Preußen Münster II 3+ goals

40%

Ennepetal 1+ goals

76%

Ennepetal 2+ goals

42%

Ennepetal 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Preußen Münster II (draw refunded)

70%

Ennepetal (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

61%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Preußen Münster II at home — creates 2.44, concedes 1.54 · 90 matches

Ennepetal away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.14 · 88 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Preußen Münster II attack 2.44 + Ennepetal defence 2.14 → ÷2 → 2.29

Ennepetal attack 1.33 + Preußen Münster II defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Preußen Münster II scores more

56%

level

20%

Ennepetal scores more

24%

Preußen Münster II at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Preußen Münster II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Preußen Münster II vs Ennepetal

Preußen Münster II beat Ennepetal 3-1 in Oberliga - Westfalen on August 31, 2025.

The match was played at LVM-Youngstars-Arena in Münster.

Preußen Münster II vs Ennepetal — Oberliga - Westfalen 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Preußen Münster II vs Ennepetal