Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich: Result & Stats

Portsmouth

FT

2 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Ipswich

C. Bishop 44'

C. Shaughnessy 42'

4/14/2026

Championship · Round 26Fratton Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Portsmouth42%

×Draw26%

Ipswich32%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PortsmouthExpected goals in this matchIpswich

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.44

1.22

Portsmouth

1.44

Ipswich

1.22

Portsmouth creates 18% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 19 away

1.70

creates per match

1.51

0.93

allows per match

1.18

creates per match

Portsmouth

1.70

Ipswich

1.51

allows per match

Portsmouth

0.93

Ipswich

1.18

-0.55scores less than expected

finishing

+0.12scores more than expected

finishing

Portsmouth-0.55scores less

Ipswich+0.12scores more

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Portsmouth ↓

Ipswich →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Portsmouth or draw

68%

Portsmouth or Ipswich

74%

Draw or Ipswich

58%

Winning margin

Portsmouth wins by 2+

20%

Ipswich wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Portsmouth 1+ goals

76%

Portsmouth 2+ goals

42%

Portsmouth 3+ goals

18%

Ipswich 1+ goals

70%

Ipswich 2+ goals

34%

Ipswich 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Portsmouth (draw refunded)

57%

Ipswich (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Portsmouth at home — creates 1.70, concedes 0.93 · 13 matches

Ipswich away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.18 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Portsmouth attack 1.70 + Ipswich defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.44

Ipswich attack 1.51 + Portsmouth defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Portsmouth scores more

42%

level

26%

Ipswich scores more

32%

Portsmouth at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Portsmouth will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

C. Shaughnessy

Portsmouth · D

8.9

Match Events

35'

Marlon Pack

42'

C. Shaughnessy↳ A. Segecic

44'

C. Bishop

58'

B. Johnson← D. Furlong

58'

J. Philogene← K. McAteer

58'

A. Mehmeti← A. Matusiwa

71'

K. Anderson← J. Swift

71'

S. W. Egeli← J. Clarke

71'

C. Akpom← D. Neil

81'

Marcelino Núñez

82'

Terry Devlin

85'

J. Brown← A. Segecic

90+1'

Jaden Philogene-Bidace

90+4'

I. Bowat← M. Alli

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PortsmouthIpswich

Overview

40%Possession60%

11Total Shots11

1.78Expected Goals (xG)1.07

3Corners7

10Fouls9

Shots

11Total Shots11

4On Target2

5Off Target3

2Blocked6

9Inside Box6

2Outside Box5

Passing

40%Possession60%

334Total Passes494

247Accurate Passes414

74%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

-1.01Goals Prevented-1.01

Discipline

10Fouls9

2Yellow Cards2

3Offsides0

Championship: Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich

Portsmouth beat Ipswich 2-0 in Championship on April 14, 2026.

Goals: C. Shaughnessy (42'), C. Bishop (44').

Ipswich controlled possession (60%) and registered 11 shots to 11.

The match was played at Fratton Park in Portsmouth.

Portsmouth vs Ipswich — Championship 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Championship: Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich