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Port City vs Attram de Visser — Division One League 2025

Port City
Port City
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Attram de Visser
Attram de Visser
4/12/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 26

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Port City39%
×Draw28%
Attram de Visser33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Port City
1.27
Attram de Visser
1.14

Port City creates 11% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Port City
1.73
Attram de Visser
1.67

allows per match

Port City
0.60
Attram de Visser
0.80

finishing

Port City+0.00on par
Attram de Visser+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Port City ↓

Attram de Visser →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Port City or draw
67%
Port City or Attram de Visser
72%
Draw or Attram de Visser
61%

Winning margin

Port City wins by 2+
17%
Attram de Visser wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Port City 1+ goals
72%
Port City 2+ goals
36%
Port City 3+ goals
14%
Attram de Visser 1+ goals
68%
Attram de Visser 2+ goals
32%
Attram de Visser 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Port City (draw refunded)
54%
Attram de Visser (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Port City at home — creates 1.73, concedes 0.60 · 15 matches

Attram de Visser away — creates 1.67, concedes 0.80 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Port City attack 1.73 + Attram de Visser defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.27

Attram de Visser attack 1.67 + Port City defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Port City scores more
39%
level
28%
Attram de Visser scores more
33%

Port City at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Port City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Port City 3–1 Attram de Visser

Port City beat Attram de Visser 3-1 in Division One League on April 12, 2026.