Attram de Visser 0–1 Port City: Result & Stats

Attram de Visser

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Port City

12/12/2025

Division One League · Round 11

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Attram de Visser32%

×Draw31%

Port City37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Attram de VisserExpected goals in this matchPort City

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.93

1.03

Attram de Visser

0.93

Port City

1.03

Port City creates 11% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.33

creates per match

1.33

0.73

allows per match

0.53

creates per match

Attram de Visser

1.33

Port City

1.33

allows per match

Attram de Visser

0.73

Port City

0.53

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Attram de Visser+0.00on par

Port City+0.00on par

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Attram de Visser ↓

Port City →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–115%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Attram de Visser or draw

63%

Attram de Visser or Port City

69%

Draw or Port City

68%

Winning margin

Attram de Visser wins by 2+

11%

Port City wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Attram de Visser 1+ goals

61%

Attram de Visser 2+ goals

24%

Attram de Visser 3+ goals

7%

Port City 1+ goals

64%

Port City 2+ goals

28%

Port City 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Attram de Visser (draw refunded)

46%

Port City (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

25%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Attram de Visser at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.73 · 15 matches

Port City away — creates 1.33, concedes 0.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Attram de Visser attack 1.33 + Port City defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 0.93

Port City attack 1.33 + Attram de Visser defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Attram de Visser scores more

32%

level

31%

Port City scores more

37%

Port City at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Port City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff