Pors Grenland II 2–2 IF Ready: Result & Stats

Pors Grenland II

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

IF Ready

9/21/2025

3. Division - Girone 6 · Group 6 - 21Pors Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Pors Grenland II40%

×Draw21%

IF Ready39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Pors Grenland IIExpected goals in this matchIF Ready

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.97

1.96

Pors Grenland II

1.97

IF Ready

1.96

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 13 home / 13 away

1.31

creates per match

1.38

2.54

allows per match

2.62

creates per match

Pors Grenland II

1.31

IF Ready

1.38

allows per match

Pors Grenland II

2.54

IF Ready

2.62

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pors Grenland II+0.00on par

IF Ready+0.00on par

Total goals

Over75
Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes74
No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pors Grenland II ↓

IF Ready →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–27%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–35%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–25%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

75%25%3.5

55%45%4.5

35%65%

Double chance

Pors Grenland II or draw

61%

Pors Grenland II or IF Ready

79%

Draw or IF Ready

60%

Winning margin

Pors Grenland II wins by 2+

21%

IF Ready wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Pors Grenland II 1+ goals

86%

Pors Grenland II 2+ goals

58%

Pors Grenland II 3+ goals

31%

IF Ready 1+ goals

86%

IF Ready 2+ goals

58%

IF Ready 3+ goals

31%

Draw no bet

Pors Grenland II (draw refunded)

50%

IF Ready (draw refunded)

50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

66%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pors Grenland II at home — creates 1.31, concedes 2.54 · 13 matches

IF Ready away — creates 1.38, concedes 2.62 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pors Grenland II attack 1.31 + IF Ready defence 2.62 → ÷2 → 1.97

IF Ready attack 1.38 + Pors Grenland II defence 2.54 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Pors Grenland II scores more

40%

level

21%

IF Ready scores more

39%

Pors Grenland II at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Pors Grenland II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff