Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Podunavac vs Hajduk Divoš — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Podunavac
Podunavac
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hajduk Divoš
Hajduk Divoš
11/24/2024Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 15Stadion FK Podunavac

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Podunavac37%
×Draw29%
Hajduk Divoš33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Podunavac
1.13
Hajduk Divoš
1.05

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 45 home / 30 away

creates per match

Podunavac
1.38
Hajduk Divoš
1.13

allows per match

Podunavac
0.98
Hajduk Divoš
0.87

finishing

Podunavac+0.00on par
Hajduk Divoš+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Podunavac ↓

Hajduk Divoš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Podunavac or draw
67%
Podunavac or Hajduk Divoš
71%
Draw or Hajduk Divoš
63%

Winning margin

Podunavac wins by 2+
15%
Hajduk Divoš wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Podunavac 1+ goals
68%
Podunavac 2+ goals
31%
Podunavac 3+ goals
11%
Hajduk Divoš 1+ goals
65%
Hajduk Divoš 2+ goals
28%
Hajduk Divoš 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Podunavac (draw refunded)
53%
Hajduk Divoš (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Podunavac at home — creates 1.38, concedes 0.98 · 45 matches

Hajduk Divoš away — creates 1.13, concedes 0.87 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Podunavac attack 1.38 + Hajduk Divoš defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.13

Hajduk Divoš attack 1.13 + Podunavac defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Podunavac scores more
37%
level
29%
Hajduk Divoš scores more
33%

Podunavac at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Podunavac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Podunavac vs Hajduk Divoš

Podunavac and Hajduk Divoš drew 0-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on November 24, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion FK Podunavac in Belegiš.