Platense 1–0 Belgrano Cordoba: Result & Stats

Platense

FT

1 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Belgrano Cordoba

N. Servetto 3'

5/27/2023

Liga Profesional Argentina · Round 18Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 20+ matches

Platense41%

×Draw32%

Belgrano Cordoba27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PlatenseExpected goals in this matchBelgrano Cordoba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.07

0.81

Platense

1.07

Belgrano Cordoba

0.81

Platense creates 32% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 20 away

1.01

creates per match

0.94

0.68

allows per match

1.14

creates per match

Platense

1.01

Belgrano Cordoba

0.94

allows per match

Platense

0.68

Belgrano Cordoba

1.14

-0.36scores less than expected

finishing

+0.01on par

finishing

Platense-0.36scores less

Belgrano Cordoba+0.01on par

Total goals

Under71
Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Platense ↓

Belgrano Cordoba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–015%

0–112%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

56%44%2.5

29%71%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Platense or draw

73%

Platense or Belgrano Cordoba

68%

Draw or Belgrano Cordoba

59%

Winning margin

Platense wins by 2+

17%

Belgrano Cordoba wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Platense 1+ goals

66%

Platense 2+ goals

29%

Platense 3+ goals

9%

Belgrano Cordoba 1+ goals

56%

Belgrano Cordoba 2+ goals

19%

Belgrano Cordoba 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Platense (draw refunded)

60%

Belgrano Cordoba (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Platense at home — creates 1.01, concedes 0.68 · 20 matches

Belgrano Cordoba away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.14 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Platense attack 1.01 + Belgrano Cordoba defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.07

Belgrano Cordoba attack 0.94 + Platense defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Platense scores more

41%

level

32%

Belgrano Cordoba scores more

27%

Platense at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

V. Taborda

Platense · F

7.9

Match Events

3'

N. Servetto↳ M. Jacquet

24'

Ulises Sánchez

33'

Nicolás Meriano

41'

Franco Jara

46'

N. Zeineddin← N. Servetto

54'

‪Ignacio Schor

58'

Nicolás Castro

61'

I. Ortigoza← G. Compagnucci

62'

I. Hesar← F. Jara

72'

J. Infante← I. Schor

72'

F. Díaz← I. Rossi

76'

G. Pereira← J. Barinaga

77'

J. Susvielles← A. Ibacache

81'

Nadir Zeineddin

83'

I. Vázquez← V. Taborda

88'

J. Cacciabue← N. Castro

90'

Ronaldo Martinez

90'

F. Bordagaray← B. Zapelli

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PlatenseBelgrano

Overview

41%Possession59%

8Total Shots7

5Corners4

15Fouls11

Shots

8Total Shots7

2On Target3

2Off Target4

4Blocked0

6Inside Box7

2Outside Box0

Passing

41%Possession59%

269Total Passes388

176Accurate Passes275

65%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

Discipline

15Fouls11

4Yellow Cards3

6Offsides0

Match Recap: Platense vs Belgrano Cordoba

Platense beat Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on May 27, 2023.

Goals: N. Servetto (3').

Belgrano Cordoba controlled possession (59%) and registered 7 shots to 8.

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López in Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Platense vs Belgrano Cordoba — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Platense vs Belgrano Cordoba