Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Pho Hien vs Dong Thap — V.League 2 2020

Pho Hien
Pho Hien
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Dong Thap
Dong Thap
2/22/2025V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 10SVĐ Trung tâm đào tạo trẻ PVF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 40+ matches

Pho Hien57%
×Draw26%
Dong Thap17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pho Hien
1.55
Dong Thap
0.71

Pho Hien creates 118% more chances

Season form · 50 home / 40 away

creates per match

Pho Hien
1.72
Dong Thap
0.60

allows per match

Pho Hien
0.82
Dong Thap
1.38

finishing

Pho Hien+0.00on par
Dong Thap+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pho Hien ↓

Dong Thap →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Pho Hien or draw
83%
Pho Hien or Dong Thap
74%
Draw or Dong Thap
43%

Winning margin

Pho Hien wins by 2+
31%
Dong Thap wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Pho Hien 1+ goals
79%
Pho Hien 2+ goals
46%
Pho Hien 3+ goals
20%
Dong Thap 1+ goals
51%
Dong Thap 2+ goals
16%
Dong Thap 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Pho Hien (draw refunded)
77%
Dong Thap (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pho Hien at home — creates 1.72, concedes 0.82 · 50 matches

Dong Thap away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.38 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pho Hien attack 1.72 + Dong Thap defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.55

Dong Thap attack 0.60 + Pho Hien defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Pho Hien scores more
57%
level
26%
Dong Thap scores more
17%

Pho Hien at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Pho Hien will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 2: Pho Hien 1–0 Dong Thap

Pho Hien beat Dong Thap 1-0 in V.League 2 on February 22, 2025.

The match was played at SVĐ Trung tâm đào tạo trẻ PVF in Liên Nghĩa.