Dong Thap 0–0 Pho Hien: Result & Stats | V.League 2

Dong Thap

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Pho Hien

2/25/2024

V.League 2 · Round 10Sân vận động Cao Lãnh

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Dong Thap30%

×Draw33%

Pho Hien38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dong ThapExpected goals in this matchPho Hien

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.83

0.98

Dong Thap

0.83

Pho Hien

0.98

Pho Hien creates 18% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 52 away

1.05

creates per match

1.15

0.82

allows per match

0.62

creates per match

Dong Thap

1.05

Pho Hien

1.15

allows per match

Dong Thap

0.82

Pho Hien

0.62

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dong Thap+0.00on par

Pho Hien+0.00on par

Total goals

Under73
Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dong Thap ↓

Pho Hien →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–116%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

54%46%2.5

27%73%3.5

11%89%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Dong Thap or draw

62%

Dong Thap or Pho Hien

67%

Draw or Pho Hien

70%

Winning margin

Dong Thap wins by 2+

10%

Pho Hien wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Dong Thap 1+ goals

56%

Dong Thap 2+ goals

20%

Dong Thap 3+ goals

5%

Pho Hien 1+ goals

62%

Pho Hien 2+ goals

26%

Pho Hien 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Dong Thap (draw refunded)

44%

Pho Hien (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

22%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dong Thap at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.82 · 38 matches

Pho Hien away — creates 1.15, concedes 0.62 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dong Thap attack 1.05 + Pho Hien defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.83

Pho Hien attack 1.15 + Dong Thap defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Dong Thap scores more

30%

level

33%

Pho Hien scores more

38%

Pho Hien at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Pho Hien will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff