Pharco 0–0 Haras El Hodood: Result & Stats

Pharco

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Haras El Hodood

5/18/2025

Premier League · Championship Round - 7Haras El Hodoud Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 77+ matches

Pharco42%

×Draw30%

Haras El Hodood28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PharcoExpected goals in this matchHaras El Hodood

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

0.88

Pharco

1.15

Haras El Hodood

0.88

Pharco creates 31% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 77 away

0.91

creates per match

0.71

1.04

allows per match

1.39

creates per match

Pharco

0.91

Haras El Hodood

0.71

allows per match

Pharco

1.04

Haras El Hodood

1.39

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pharco+0.00on par

Haras El Hodood+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pharco ↓

Haras El Hodood →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–112%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Pharco or draw

72%

Pharco or Haras El Hodood

70%

Draw or Haras El Hodood

58%

Winning margin

Pharco wins by 2+

18%

Haras El Hodood wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Pharco 1+ goals

68%

Pharco 2+ goals

32%

Pharco 3+ goals

11%

Haras El Hodood 1+ goals

59%

Haras El Hodood 2+ goals

22%

Haras El Hodood 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Pharco (draw refunded)

60%

Haras El Hodood (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pharco at home — creates 0.91, concedes 1.04 · 82 matches

Haras El Hodood away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.39 · 77 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pharco attack 0.91 + Haras El Hodood defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.15

Haras El Hodood attack 0.71 + Pharco defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Pharco scores more

42%

level

30%

Haras El Hodood scores more

28%

Pharco at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Pharco will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

Jefferson Encada

Pharco · D

7.3

Match Events

5'

Islam Abou-Salima

35'

Adham Seha← Ayman Orabi

68'

Mohamed El Kott← Mohamed Mostafa

68'

Omar Fathi Saviola← Hazem Mohamed

80'

Z. El Moutaraji← Ahmed Sherif

80'

Mohamed Ezz← Jefferson Encada

82'

Mahmoud Emad

83'

Omar Fathi

89'

Walid Mostafa← Mohamed Fakhry

89'

Mahmoud Farahat← Omar Reda

90'

Rafaat Khalil← Mahmoud Sayed okaa

90'

Mohamed El Deghemy← Karim Yehia

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PharcoHaras

Overview

46%Possession54%

18Total Shots1

6Corners1

2Fouls17

Shots

18Total Shots1

2On Target0

8Off Target0

8Blocked1

7Inside Box0

11Outside Box1

Passing

46%Possession54%

310Total Passes390

218Accurate Passes288

70%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

0Saves2

Discipline

2Fouls17

1Yellow Cards2

3Offsides3