Petrolul Ploiesti 2–0 Csikszereda: Result & Stats

Petrolul Ploiesti

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Csikszereda

R. Pop 70'

M. Dulca 43'

4/6/2026

Liga I · Relegation Group - 3Stadionul Ilie Oană

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Petrolul Ploiesti52%

×Draw23%

Csikszereda24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Petrolul PloiestiExpected goals in this matchCsikszereda

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.14

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.78

Csikszereda

1.14

Petrolul Ploiesti creates 56% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 15 away

1.21

creates per match

0.89

1.38

allows per match

2.35

creates per match

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.21

Csikszereda

0.89

allows per match

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.38

Csikszereda

2.35

-0.53scores less than expected

finishing

-0.29scores less than expected

finishing

Petrolul Ploiesti-0.53scores less

Csikszereda-0.29scores less

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petrolul Ploiesti ↓

Csikszereda →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Petrolul Ploiesti or draw

76%

Petrolul Ploiesti or Csikszereda

77%

Draw or Csikszereda

48%

Winning margin

Petrolul Ploiesti wins by 2+

29%

Csikszereda wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Petrolul Ploiesti 1+ goals

83%

Petrolul Ploiesti 2+ goals

53%

Petrolul Ploiesti 3+ goals

26%

Csikszereda 1+ goals

68%

Csikszereda 2+ goals

32%

Csikszereda 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Petrolul Ploiesti (draw refunded)

68%

Csikszereda (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petrolul Ploiesti at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.38 · 22 matches

Csikszereda away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.35 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petrolul Ploiesti attack 1.21 + Csikszereda defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 1.78

Csikszereda attack 0.89 + Petrolul Ploiesti defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Petrolul Ploiesti scores more

52%

level

23%

Csikszereda scores more

24%

Petrolul Ploiesti at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Petrolul Ploiesti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

R. Balbarau

Petrolul Ploiesti · G

8.2

Match Events

4'

Yohan RocheGoal cancelled

43'

M. Dulca

46'

M. Tajti← R. Trif

51'

Anderson Ceará

59'

A. Mateiu← R. Hermann

66'

69'

70'

72'

77'

Gustavinho← A. Csuros

77'

D. Brugger← E. Bodo

83'

Andres Dumitrescu

85'

W. Loeper← M. Eppel

85'

S. Szalay← Anderson Ceara

87'

A. Aymbetov← A. Chica-Rosa

87'

V. Gheorghe← G. Grozav

90+2'

Alexandru Mateiu

90+1'

Valentin Gheorghe

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PetrolulCsikszereda

Overview

45%Possession55%

16Total Shots9

1.94Expected Goals (xG)0.71

3Corners2

15Fouls18

Shots

16Total Shots9

5On Target6

7Off Target2

4Blocked1

8Inside Box4

8Outside Box5

Passing

45%Possession55%

332Total Passes408

256Accurate Passes340

77%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

Discipline

15Fouls18

4Yellow Cards2

2Offsides0