Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Csikszereda — Liga I 2026

Petrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Csikszereda
Csikszereda
R. Pop 51'
L. Paszka 62' (pen)
3/1/2026Liga ILiga I · Round 29Stadionul Ilie Oană

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Petrolul Ploiesti52%
×Draw23%
Csikszereda24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Petrolul Ploiesti
1.78
Csikszereda
1.14

Petrolul Ploiesti creates 56% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 15 away

creates per match

Petrolul Ploiesti
1.21
Csikszereda
0.89

allows per match

Petrolul Ploiesti
1.38
Csikszereda
2.35

finishing

Petrolul Ploiesti-0.53scores less
Csikszereda-0.29scores less

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petrolul Ploiesti ↓

Csikszereda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Petrolul Ploiesti or draw
76%
Petrolul Ploiesti or Csikszereda
77%
Draw or Csikszereda
48%

Winning margin

Petrolul Ploiesti wins by 2+
29%
Csikszereda wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Petrolul Ploiesti 1+ goals
83%
Petrolul Ploiesti 2+ goals
53%
Petrolul Ploiesti 3+ goals
26%
Csikszereda 1+ goals
68%
Csikszereda 2+ goals
32%
Csikszereda 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Petrolul Ploiesti (draw refunded)
68%
Csikszereda (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petrolul Ploiesti at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.38 · 22 matches

Csikszereda away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.35 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petrolul Ploiesti attack 1.21 + Csikszereda defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 1.78

Csikszereda attack 0.89 + Petrolul Ploiesti defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Petrolul Ploiesti scores more
52%
level
23%
Csikszereda scores more
24%

Petrolul Ploiesti at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Petrolul Ploiesti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6
L. PaszkaCsikszeredaCsikszereda · D
7.5

Match Events

46'
Anderson Ceara← Gustavinho
51'
R. Pop
60'
Răzvan TrifPenalty confirmed
62'
L. PaszkaPenalty
64'
Zoárd Nagy
67'
R. Hermann← G. Grozav
68'
N. Boateng← M. Dulca
70'
B. Vegh← S. Veres
70'
S. Jebari← W. Loeper
71'
M. Eppel← Z. Nagy
75'
Ricardinho
76'
S. Hanca← D. Dongmo
76'
A. Botogan← R. Pop
83'
A. Aymbetov← A. Chica-Rosa
90+1'
Yohan Roche
90+7'
János Hegedűs
90+1'
Anderson Ceará
90+2'
D. Bota← E. Bodo

Possession

67%Petrolul

Shots

12Petrolul

Pass accuracy

54%Petrolul

Statistics

PetrolulCsikszereda
Overview
67%Possession33%
12Total Shots6
0.92Expected Goals (xG)1.21
10Corners1
16Fouls20
Shots
12Total Shots6
4On Target3
6Off Target2
2Blocked1
9Inside Box3
3Outside Box3
Passing
67%Possession33%
484Total Passes245
388Accurate Passes163
80%Pass Accuracy67%
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
Discipline
16Fouls20
2Yellow Cards3
1Offsides0

Match Recap: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Csikszereda

Petrolul Ploiesti and Csikszereda drew 1-1 in Liga I on March 1, 2026.

Goals: R. Pop (51'), L. Paszka (62' pen).

Petrolul Ploiesti controlled possession (67%) and registered 12 shots to 6.

The match was played at Stadionul Ilie Oană in Ploiesti.