Petrojet 0–0 Al Ittihad: Result & Stats

Petrojet

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al Ittihad

2/1/2025

Premier League · Round 11Cairo Military Academy Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Petrojet40%

×Draw28%

Al Ittihad32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PetrojetExpected goals in this matchAl Ittihad

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.25

1.10

Petrojet

1.25

Al Ittihad

1.10

Petrojet creates 14% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

1.15

creates per match

0.78

1.42

allows per match

1.34

creates per match

Petrojet

1.15

Al Ittihad

0.78

allows per match

Petrojet

1.42

Al Ittihad

1.34

-0.15scores less than expected

finishing

-0.35scores less than expected

finishing

Petrojet-0.15scores less

Al Ittihad-0.35scores less

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petrojet ↓

Al Ittihad →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

42%58%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Petrojet or draw

68%

Petrojet or Al Ittihad

72%

Draw or Al Ittihad

60%

Winning margin

Petrojet wins by 2+

17%

Al Ittihad wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Petrojet 1+ goals

71%

Petrojet 2+ goals

36%

Petrojet 3+ goals

13%

Al Ittihad 1+ goals

67%

Al Ittihad 2+ goals

30%

Al Ittihad 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Petrojet (draw refunded)

55%

Al Ittihad (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petrojet at home — creates 1.15, concedes 1.42 · 6 matches

Al Ittihad away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.34 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petrojet attack 1.15 + Al Ittihad defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.25

Al Ittihad attack 0.78 + Petrojet defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Petrojet scores more

40%

level

28%

Al Ittihad scores more

32%

Petrojet at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Petrojet will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

Karim El Deeb

Al Ittihad · M

7.9

Match Events

13'

Omar El WahshPenalty cancelled

18'

Hady Reyad

28'

Mohamed Okasha

46'

Naser Naser← Omar El Wahsh

57'

Adham Hamed← Zyad Farag

71'

Abdel Ghani Mohamed← V. Bekalé Aubame

77'

Youssef Nabih← Shokry Naguib

78'

Badr Moussa← Mohamed Ali Okasha

78'

Islam Hesham← Rashad Metwally

86'

Fady Farid← Amr Gomaa

86'

Mohamed Fares← Karim El Deeb

90+2'

Hamed Hemdan

90'

Naser Naser

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PetrojetAl

Overview

46%Possession54%

5Total Shots17

5Corners6

11Fouls10

Shots

5Total Shots17

2On Target3

1Off Target8

2Blocked6

2Inside Box8

3Outside Box9

Passing

46%Possession54%

319Total Passes376

195Accurate Passes257

61%Pass Accuracy68%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

11Fouls10

3Yellow Cards1

0Offsides1

Premier League: Petrojet 0–0 Al Ittihad

Petrojet and Al Ittihad drew 0-0 in Premier League on February 1, 2025.

Al Ittihad controlled possession (54%) and registered 17 shots to 5.

The match was played at Cairo Military Academy Stadium in Cairo.

Petrojet vs Al Ittihad — Premier League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Premier League: Petrojet 0–0 Al Ittihad