Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Peterborough vs Mansfield Town — League One 2025

Peterborough
Peterborough
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town
4/28/2026League OneLeague One · Round 40Weston Homes Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Peterborough39%
×Draw27%
Mansfield Town34%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Peterborough
1.33
Mansfield Town
1.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 38 home / 24 away

creates per match

Peterborough
1.66
Mansfield Town
1.08

allows per match

Peterborough
1.37
Mansfield Town
1.00

finishing

Peterborough+0.00on par
Mansfield Town+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Peterborough ↓

Mansfield Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Peterborough or draw
66%
Peterborough or Mansfield Town
73%
Draw or Mansfield Town
61%

Winning margin

Peterborough wins by 2+
18%
Mansfield Town wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Peterborough 1+ goals
74%
Peterborough 2+ goals
38%
Peterborough 3+ goals
15%
Mansfield Town 1+ goals
71%
Mansfield Town 2+ goals
35%
Mansfield Town 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Peterborough (draw refunded)
53%
Mansfield Town (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Peterborough at home — creates 1.66, concedes 1.37 · 38 matches

Mansfield Town away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.00 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Peterborough attack 1.66 + Mansfield Town defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Mansfield Town attack 1.08 + Peterborough defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Peterborough scores more
39%
level
27%
Mansfield Town scores more
34%

Peterborough at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Peterborough will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5
R. SweeneyMansfield TownMansfield Town · D
8.2

Match Events

61'
M. Garbett← B. Shofowoke
66'
H. Mills← J. Mendy
69'
R. Oates← T. Roberts
76'
Stephen McLaughlin
78'
N. Moriah-Welsh← S. McLaughlin
82'
B. Khela← B. Woods
82'
O. Aderoju← D. Kamara
90+1'
Elliott Hewitt

Possession

50%Peterborough

Shots

9Peterborough

Pass accuracy

50%Peterborough

Statistics

PeterboroughMansfield
Overview
50%Possession50%
9Total Shots13
5Corners7
9Fouls13
Shots
9Total Shots13
3On Target2
3Off Target8
3Blocked3
9Inside Box8
0Outside Box5
Passing
50%Possession50%
374Total Passes376
271Accurate Passes269
72%Pass Accuracy72%
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
Discipline
9Fouls13
0Yellow Cards2
1Offsides1

League One: Peterborough 0–0 Mansfield Town

Peterborough and Mansfield Town drew 0-0 in League One on April 28, 2026.

Peterborough controlled possession (50%) and registered 9 shots to 13.

The match was played at Weston Homes Stadium in Peterborough.