Pattani 1–1 Bangkok: Result & Stats | Thai League 2

Pattani

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Bangkok

2/28/2026

Thai League 2 · Round 27Rainbow Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Pattani48%

×Draw23%

Bangkok29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PattaniExpected goals in this matchBangkok

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

1.35

Pattani

1.80

Bangkok

1.35

Pattani creates 33% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 33 away

1.67

creates per match

1.42

1.28

allows per match

1.94

creates per match

Pattani

1.67

Bangkok

1.42

allows per match

Pattani

1.28

Bangkok

1.94

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pattani+0.00on par

Bangkok+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pattani ↓

Bangkok →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Pattani or draw

71%

Pattani or Bangkok

77%

Draw or Bangkok

52%

Winning margin

Pattani wins by 2+

26%

Bangkok wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Pattani 1+ goals

83%

Pattani 2+ goals

54%

Pattani 3+ goals

27%

Bangkok 1+ goals

74%

Bangkok 2+ goals

39%

Bangkok 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Pattani (draw refunded)

62%

Bangkok (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pattani at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.28 · 18 matches

Bangkok away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.94 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pattani attack 1.67 + Bangkok defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 1.80

Bangkok attack 1.42 + Pattani defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Pattani scores more

48%

level

23%

Bangkok scores more

29%

Pattani at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Pattani will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff