Partizán Bardejov vs Lokomotíva Košice — 2. liga 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 6+ matches
Partizán Bardejov24%
Lokomotíva Košice50%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Lokomotíva Košice creates 56% more chances
Season form · 40 home / 6 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under53
- Over47
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No50
- Yes50
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Partizán Bardejov ↓
Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Partizán Bardejov at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.30 · 40 matches
Lokomotíva Košice away — creates 1.83, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Partizán Bardejov attack 1.00 + Lokomotíva Košice defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00
Lokomotíva Košice attack 1.83 + Partizán Bardejov defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.56
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 50%?"
Lokomotíva Košice at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 50% does not mean "Lokomotíva Košice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Head to Head
5 previous meetings
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Petržalka
Liptovský Mikuláš
Malženice
Pohronie
Zlaté Moravce
Inter Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava II
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Slávia TU Košice
Púchov
Stará Ľubovňa
KomárnoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Partizán Bardejov host Lokomotíva Košice on Saturday, 28 April 2018 at 15:00. The match is part of the 2. liga 2019/2020 season.
2. liga: Partizán Bardejov 1–1 Lokomotíva Košice
Partizán Bardejov and Lokomotíva Košice drew 1-1 in 2. liga on April 28, 2018.
Goals: K. Karaš (3'), E. Sarki (35').
The match was played at Mestský štadión Partizán Bardejov in Bardejov.