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Pandurii TG JIU vs U Craiova 1948 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Pandurii TG JIU
Pandurii TG JIU
CANC
00:00
U Craiova 1948
U Craiova 1948
9/4/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadionul Pandurii

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Pandurii TG JIU18%
×Draw19%
U Craiova 194863%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pandurii TG JIU
1.13
U Craiova 1948
2.29

U Craiova 1948 creates 103% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Pandurii TG JIU
1.25
U Craiova 1948
2.33

allows per match

Pandurii TG JIU
2.25
U Craiova 1948
1.00

finishing

Pandurii TG JIU+0.00on par
U Craiova 1948+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pandurii TG JIU ↓

U Craiova 1948 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–18%
0–29%
0–37%
0–44%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Pandurii TG JIU or draw
37%
Pandurii TG JIU or U Craiova 1948
81%
Draw or U Craiova 1948
82%

Winning margin

Pandurii TG JIU wins by 2+
7%
U Craiova 1948 wins by 2+
40%

Team goals

Pandurii TG JIU 1+ goals
68%
Pandurii TG JIU 2+ goals
31%
Pandurii TG JIU 3+ goals
11%
U Craiova 1948 1+ goals
90%
U Craiova 1948 2+ goals
66%
U Craiova 1948 3+ goals
40%

Draw no bet

Pandurii TG JIU (draw refunded)
22%
U Craiova 1948 (draw refunded)
78%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pandurii TG JIU at home — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

U Craiova 1948 away — creates 2.33, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pandurii TG JIU attack 1.25 + U Craiova 1948 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

U Craiova 1948 attack 2.33 + Pandurii TG JIU defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Pandurii TG JIU scores more
18%
level
19%
U Craiova 1948 scores more
63%

U Craiova 1948 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "U Craiova 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Pandurii TG JIU face U Craiova 1948 (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Pandurii TG JIU hosting U Craiova 1948. Match starts September 4, 2021. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Pandurii TG JIU host U Craiova 1948 at Stadionul Pandurii.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.