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Palmeiras U17 vs Atletico GO U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

Palmeiras U17
Palmeiras U17
FT
9 – 0
HT: 6 – 0
Atletico GO U17
Atletico GO U17
Eduardo 84', 58', 41'
Vinicius 74' (pen)
Juan Francisco 38' (pen), 14'
Ruan Yago 35'
Juan Ferreira 23'
Wesley Lima 7'
8/6/2025Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · 1st Phase - 13Arena Barueri

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Palmeiras U1788%
×Draw8%
Atletico GO U174%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Palmeiras U17
3.63
Atletico GO U17
0.73

Palmeiras U17 creates 397% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 20 away

creates per match

Palmeiras U17
3.57
Atletico GO U17
0.60

allows per match

Palmeiras U17
0.86
Atletico GO U17
3.70

finishing

Palmeiras U17+0.00on par
Atletico GO U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 79Under: 2179%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No: 50Yes: 5050%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Palmeiras U17 ↓

Atletico GO U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–14%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–011%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–010%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (11%) · grid covers 76% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Palmeiras U17 or draw
96%
Palmeiras U17 or Atletico GO U17
92%
Draw or Atletico GO U17
12%

Winning margin

Palmeiras U17 wins by 2+
72%
Atletico GO U17 wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Palmeiras U17 1+ goals
97%
Palmeiras U17 2+ goals
87%
Palmeiras U17 3+ goals
68%
Atletico GO U17 1+ goals
52%
Atletico GO U17 2+ goals
17%
Atletico GO U17 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Palmeiras U17 (draw refunded)
96%
Atletico GO U17 (draw refunded)
4%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Palmeiras U17 at home — creates 3.57, concedes 0.86 · 21 matches

Atletico GO U17 away — creates 0.60, concedes 3.70 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Palmeiras U17 attack 3.57 + Atletico GO U17 defence 3.70 → ÷2 → 3.63

Atletico GO U17 attack 0.60 + Palmeiras U17 defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 88%?"

Palmeiras U17 scores more
88%
level
8%
Atletico GO U17 scores more
4%

Palmeiras U17 at 88% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 88% does not mean "Palmeiras U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
Wesley Lima
14'
Juan Francisco
23'
Juan Ferreira
35'
Ruan Yago
38'
Juan FranciscoPenalty
41'
Eduardo
58'
Eduardo
74'
ViniciusPenalty
84'
Eduardo

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Brasileiro U17: Palmeiras U17 9–0 Atletico GO U17

Palmeiras U17 beat Atletico GO U17 9-0 in Brasileiro U17 on August 6, 2025.

Goals: Wesley Lima (7'), Juan Francisco (14', 38' pen), Juan Ferreira (23'), Ruan Yago (35'), Eduardo (41', 58', 84'), Vinicius (74' pen).

The match was played at Arena Barueri in Barueri, São Paulo.